Will there come a point in time where the war continues, but the markets do not care?
u/Turbulent_Cricket497 ·
Reddit — r/StockMarket
· March 30, 2026 at 15:45
· ⬆ 25 pts
· 💬 58 comments
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If the war persists for several more months, will there come a point in time that the markets stop caring about it? I mean there have be many long conflicts that the US has been involved with in the past century and at some point, the markets seem to stop caring and just return to trading like it did before the conflict began. I am not a market historian, but would assume wars always cause economic concern in the markets, but markets once the initial shock wears off, they tend to make a comeback and stop trading on daily news from the front. Granted there may also be some underlying economic concerns that are not war related, but considering just the war aspect.
Here is what I found online regarding this topic:
Yes, history shows that financial markets can, and often do, stop "caring" about an ongoing war, particularly if the conflict remains geographically contained and does not severely disrupt global energy supplies or corporate earnings.
While initial news of a conflict causes immediate volatility, markets often rebound quickly as investors "price in" the uncertainty and shift focus back to economic fundamentals.
**Why Markets Stop Caring About Ongoing Wars:**
* **Geopolitical Disconnect:** Historically, many regional wars, including conflicts in the Middle East, have had minimal lasting impact on U.S. stocks.
* **"Priced In" Uncertainty:** Markets tend to drop in anticipation of conflict but often peak when fighting actually begins, as the uncertainty ends and is replaced by concrete data.
* **Absorbing Economic Shocks:** Even if a war causes oil spikes initially, markets can recover if the shock to the global industrial base remains limited.
* **Precedent of Prolonged Conflicts:** Long-running conflicts (e.g., Iran-Iraq war in the 1980s or recent regional conflicts) often have little impact on long-term bull markets if they don't threaten major energy bottlenecks.