Feds latest projections from March 2026 are on the pessimistic side
u/kktvMIN ·
Reddit — r/stocks
· March 18, 2026 at 18:21
· ⬆ 29 pts
· 💬 17 comments
| View on Reddit ↗
No analysis available.
Score29
Comments17
Upvote %85%
▶ Full Post Text
While it was not a surprise that they are holding rates steady, the projected risks have become more pessimistic. [https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomcprojtabl2026](https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomcprojtabl2026)
Compared to December last year, more participants are leaning toward downside risks to GDP growth, upside risks to unemployment rate and inflation, although estimates have ticked higher for GDP, they have also become higher for unemployment and inflation.
# Risks to GDP growth
Number of participants
|Date of projections|Weighted downside|Balanced|Upside|
|:-|:-|:-|:-|
|March 2026|14|5|0|
|December 2025|8|8|3|
# Risks to the unemployment rate
Number of participants
|Date of projections|Weighted downside|Balanced|Upside|
|:-|:-|:-|:-|
|March 2026|0|3|16|
|December 2025|0|6|13|
# Risks to PCE inflation
Number of participants
|Date of projections|Weighted downside|Balanced|Upside|
|:-|:-|:-|:-|
|March 2026|0|2|17|
|December 2025|2|5|12|