60 days live paper trading results - LLMs exploiting misspricing between Polymarket traders and AI rationale - happy so share insights, get feedback and discuss next steps.
u/No_Syrup_4068 ·
Reddit — r/algotrading
· March 13, 2026 at 09:52
· ⬆ 43 pts
· 💬 30 comments
| View on Reddit ↗
AI Summary
Summary
The author presents a trading strategy that exploits perceived mispricings between human traders on the Polymarket prediction market and predictions generated by Large Language Models (LLMs).
The core thesis is that LLMs are more "rational" than human traders, and significant divergences in probability estimates between the two represent an exploitable arbitrage-like opportunity.
This is a speculative, early-stage strategy report based on 60 days of paper trading, not a well-researched due diligence piece on a specific financial asset.