60 days live paper trading results - LLMs exploiting misspricing between Polymarket traders and AI rationale - happy so share insights, get feedback and discuss next steps.

u/No_Syrup_4068 · Reddit — r/algotrading · March 13, 2026 at 09:52 · ⬆ 43 pts · 💬 30 comments  | View on Reddit ↗
AI Summary

Summary

  • The author presents a trading strategy that exploits perceived mispricings between human traders on the Polymarket prediction market and predictions generated by Large Language Models (LLMs).
  • The core thesis is that LLMs are more "rational" than human traders, and significant divergences in probability estimates between the two represent an exploitable arbitrage-like opportunity.
  • This is a speculative, early-stage strategy report based on 60 days of paper trading, not a well-researched due diligence piece on a specific financial asset.
Score 43
Comments 30
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