Author argues Reddit's pre-IPO and evergreen share-based compensation creates a dilution scheme that enriches insiders and guarantees perpetual losses for shareholders, with a likely lawsuit and Q1 2026 earnings as key catalysts.
RDDT — AVOID The author claims Reddit's pre-IPO share-based compensation and replacement 'evergreen' dilution program systematically absorb all free cash flow, guaranteeing perpetual losses for shareholders and enriching executives. They argue reported SBC is understated because it uses 2023 grant-date values: 2025 market-value SBC was about $1.8B versus roughly $340M booked, which would swing reported ~$500M profit to a ~$1B loss. The stated catalysts are a probable 'Dilution Scam' lawsuit and the Q1 May 2026 earnings call as management's last chance to revise SBC and dilution guidance; the author also says the market has started discounting the stock.
Its a scheme that guarantees perpetual losses for shareholders. It creates almost comical payouts, in the hundreds of millions for multiple executives, without regard for stock or business development.
This Reddit post, published February 18, 2026, features u/sportingpool discussing RDDT. 1 trade idea extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.
Speakers: u/sportingpool · Tickers: RDDT