Netflix is in trouble (Seedance) - waiting to buy the next 50%+ big dip

u/anonymous_sheep1 · Reddit — r/ValueInvesting · February 15, 2026 at 15:13 · 💬 47 comments  | View on Reddit ↗
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Author argues AI video generation (Seedance 2.0) will commoditize entertainment content, causing a sharp Netflix selloff before Netflix's scale and originals let it win long term.

NFLX — WATCH The author believes AI video tools like Seedance 2.0 will commoditize entertainment content, forcing a repricing of Hollywood and streaming that could cut Netflix's stock by roughly 50%. He argues Netflix's moat is being rewritten but its scale, capital, and original content should let it benefit most long term, making the anticipated panic-driven dip the buying opportunity. The main risk is that AI commoditization erodes Netflix's content advantage more than its scale can offset.

I think Netflix still has their moat - but it is being rewritten. There will be massive fear and panic during the reprice but long term, they have the size the money and their own original content. I 100% believe they will benefit the most out of this in the end. But I also know they will be 50% less than they are now and that dip is the opportunity.

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u/anonymous_sheep1 Reddit r/ValueInvesting
AI content commoditization to tank Netflix, then buy dip
The author believes AI video tools like Seedance 2.0 will commoditize entertainment content, forcing a repricing of Hollywood and streaming that could cut Netflix's stock by roughly 50%. He argues Netflix's moat is being rewritten but its scale, capital, and original content should let it benefit most long term, making the anticipated panic-driven dip the buying opportunity. The main risk is that AI commoditization erodes Netflix's content advantage more than its scale can offset.
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This Reddit post, published February 15, 2026, features u/anonymous_sheep1 discussing NFLX. 1 trade idea extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: u/anonymous_sheep1  · Tickers: NFLX