ADOBE as 2 years trade?

u/zano19724 · Reddit — r/ValueInvesting · February 10, 2026 at 11:13 · ⬆ 17 pts · 💬 90 comments  | View on Reddit ↗
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Original Reddit post

Author argues Adobe is excessively cheap at ~$265 with at least two years of business-as-usual growth before AI disruption bites, offering asymmetric risk/reward.

ADBE — LONG The author argues Adobe at ~$265 is ridiculously cheap relative to at least two more years of business-as-usual with 7-12% growth, since AI is not yet ready to replace designers and no better alternative exists. Fundamentals remain solid with ~45% operating margins, strong free cash flow conversion, manageable net debt, and continued buybacks, and the stock trades near historical median multiples. The stated risk is that AI and competition will eventually eat a meaningful chunk of Adobe's moat, so he would not hold it 10+ years.

At current prices, Adobe is trading close to its historical median valuation multiples, despite fundamentals being very solid

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u/zano19724 Reddit r/ValueInvesting
Adobe cheap for two-year trade
The author argues Adobe at ~$265 is ridiculously cheap relative to at least two more years of business-as-usual with 7-12% growth, since AI is not yet ready to replace designers and no better alternative exists. Fundamentals remain solid with ~45% operating margins, strong free cash flow conversion, manageable net debt, and continued buybacks, and the stock trades near historical median multiples. The stated risk is that AI and competition will eventually eat a meaningful chunk of Adobe's moat, so he would not hold it 10+ years.
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This Reddit post, published February 10, 2026, features u/zano19724 discussing ADBE. 1 trade idea extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: u/zano19724  · Tickers: ADBE