Author presents a long-term Charter Communications thesis based on declining capex driving a free cash flow surge and aggressive buybacks.
CHTR — LONG The author argues Charter's large infrastructure capex is set to wind down over the next four years, which will cause free cash flow to jump not from higher profitability but from lower spending. Management said on the recent call it will use most of that free cash flow for buybacks, potentially repurchasing almost 50% of outstanding shares over five years. The author cites projected FCF/share of $36 and 14% FCF yield in 2026, rising to $121 and 56% by 2029. The author frames this as a 4-5 year hold and acknowledges the company is losing customers and relevancy, though it beat expectations and is growing mobile customers.
That means their free cash flow will suddenly jump, not because they are more profitable but just because they are spending less.
This Reddit post, published February 07, 2026, features u/ninjagorilla discussing CHTR. 1 trade idea extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.
Speakers: u/ninjagorilla · Tickers: CHTR