Bearish TSLA thesis with puts based on declining deliveries, revenue, market losses, high valuation, and lack of FSD/Optimus/Robotaxi progress.
Unpriced research observations (excluded from Calls and Returns):
TSLA — SHORT The author argues Tesla is overvalued at a 125x P/E with no clear progress on FSD, Optimus, or Robotaxi, while deliveries, revenue, and key markets decline. They cite a second straight year of annual sales declines, EU boycott, Canada not allowing Chinese EV imports, and losing the Chinese market as causal factors for further downside. The concrete catalyst is the upcoming quarterly delivery report with consensus expectations below 350k; they are buying $420 1/30 puts. ambiguous_option_contract
Buying $420 1/30 puts...this is the end of TSLA's insane valuation