Lottery ticket against gold

u/what_could_gowrong · Reddit — r/smallstreetbets · January 24, 2026 at 00:44 · ⬆ 38 pts · 💬 59 comments  | View on Reddit ↗
AI Summary

Original Reddit post

Author sees gold as overextended and bets on a short-term Monday correction.

Unpriced research observations (excluded from Calls and Returns):

XAUUSD — SHORT The author argues gold is stretched after recent volatility contradicted its safe-haven role. They expect weekend doubts to halt the hype train and trigger a hard Monday correction, so they are short gold. They note the probability is low but elevated, making it a lottery ticket with high risk of loss. Exact non-equity contract requires separate historical validation; no generic proxy.

Hence the lottery ticket short of gold, betting on the probability of a hard Monday correction that is still low, but elevated.

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Comments 59
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