Bullish thesis on Cavvy Energy (CVVY.TO), arguing a new sulphur contract could multiply realized sulphur revenue and materially boost NOI and profitability.
CVVY.TO — LONG Author argues Cavvy Energy (CVVY.TO) will see sulphur revenue jump because a new November contract sells 1/3 at $225/mt, 1/3 at $205-$250/mt, and 1/3 at market, averaging about $250/mt versus $34/mt last quarter. At ~1,200 mt/d, that changes sulphur revenue from ~$14M/year to ~$100M/year and could add ~$20M/quarter to NOI, helping clear $160M debt and push net income above break-even. With a C$260M market cap, the author thinks the stock could go higher. The main stated risk is that USD/CAD values are blurry and numbers may vary.
In November, they entered into a new contract, wherein 1/3 of their suplhur will be sold at $225/mt, 1/3 between $205-$250/mt, and 1/3 at full market value. Averaged out, this'd put the price they get at around $250/mt, or 7.3x what they got last quarter.
This Reddit post, published January 22, 2026, features u/hayl4bulb discussing CVVY.TO. 1 trade idea extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.
Speakers: u/hayl4bulb · Tickers: CVVY.TO