GLP-1 RA prescription trends: Q4 2025

u/Lunar_Excursion · Reddit — r/ValueInvesting · January 21, 2026 at 07:57 · ⬆ 5 pts  | View on Reddit ↗
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Author presents GLP-1 prescription trends and argues Eli Lilly is the value play with multiple 1H 2026 catalysts.

LLY — LONG The author argues Eli Lilly is the real value play in GLP-1s, citing a PEG ratio around 1, Q3 revenue growth of 54% at 48% operating margin, and tirzepatide prescription growth of +10% versus semaglutide at -0.8%. Catalysts in 1H 2026 include orforglipron FDA approval and ACHIEVE-4 MACE readout, retatrutide TRIUMPH and TRANSCEND-T2D-1 readouts, and the remternetug TRAILRUNNER-ALZ 1 readout. The author highlights remternetug as a potential surprise, a more potent subcutaneous follow-up to Kisunla that could reduce ARIA complications and eventually prevent Alzheimer's. No specific risk is stated.

LLY is the real value play here... PEG ratio is around 1... Q3 rev growth 54% at 48% op margin...

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u/Lunar_Excursion Reddit r/ValueInvesting
Eli Lilly value play with 2026 catalysts
The author argues Eli Lilly is the real value play in GLP-1s, citing a PEG ratio around 1, Q3 revenue growth of 54% at 48% operating margin, and tirzepatide prescription growth of +10% versus semaglutide at -0.8%. Catalysts in 1H 2026 include orforglipron FDA approval and ACHIEVE-4 MACE readout, retatrutide TRIUMPH and TRANSCEND-T2D-1 readouts, and the remternetug TRAILRUNNER-ALZ 1 readout. The author highlights remternetug as a potential surprise, a more potent subcutaneous follow-up to Kisunla that could reduce ARIA complications and eventually prevent Alzheimer's. No specific risk is stated.
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This Reddit post, published January 21, 2026, features u/Lunar_Excursion discussing LLY. 1 trade idea extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: u/Lunar_Excursion  · Tickers: LLY