I’ve seen some discussion here about whether quantitative horse racing models actually work long-term, so I’m sharing tracked results from one I’ve been running.
Flat £1 stakes only, selections when model odds ≥ 3.00, no discretion.
Lifetime results:
2,516 bets
431 winners (17.13% SR)
+£438.61 profit
+17.43% ROI
2025 results:
2,345 bets
+£387.98
+16.54% ROI
Max drawdown: –£63.25
Jan 2026 (to date):
171 bets
+£50.63
+29.61% ROI
Max drawdown: –£8.25
All figures include losing runs and are based on £1 level stakes (scalable).
Posting for discussion rather than promotion — happy to answer general questions on drawdowns, variance, or model-based betting.