My prediction for SBIN

u/Empty-Leg-1351 · Reddit — r/IndianStockMarket · January 18, 2026 at 10:38 · 💬 3 comments  | View on Reddit ↗
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Author presents a bullish multi-year thesis on State Bank of India (SBIN) based on low NPAs, institutional accumulation, possible FII limit increase, and an expected Q3 FY26 earnings beat.

SBIN.NS — LONG Author argues SBI is a long-term buy because it has growing revenue, low gross/net NPAs, institutional accumulation, and high delivery buying, while the RBI's proposal to raise the FII limit from 20% to 26% (or possibly 49%) could bring fresh foreign inflows. The near-term catalyst is the Q3 FY26 earnings release on Feb 6, which the author expects to beat, though a profit-booking dip near 1099 is expected. Author states SBI can double or triple within the next couple of years; stated risks include FII outflows due to rupee weakness and higher US risk-free rates, plus DII profit booking at key levels.

I think that SBIN is VERY bullish for the next decade due to their high exposure to long term loans and their currently low NPA ratio of 0.5% net.

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u/Empty-Leg-1351 Reddit r/IndianStockMarket
Low NPAs, institutional buying, FII limit increase, earnings beat
Author argues SBI is a long-term buy because it has growing revenue, low gross/net NPAs, institutional accumulation, and high delivery buying, while the RBI's proposal to raise the FII limit from 20% to 26% (or possibly 49%) could bring fresh foreign inflows. The near-term catalyst is the Q3 FY26 earnings release on Feb 6, which the author expects to beat, though a profit-booking dip near 1099 is expected. Author states SBI can double or triple within the next couple of years; stated risks include FII outflows due to rupee weakness and higher US risk-free rates, plus DII profit booking at key levels.
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This Reddit post, published January 18, 2026, features u/Empty-Leg-1351 discussing SBIN.NS. 1 trade idea extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: u/Empty-Leg-1351  · Tickers: SBIN.NS