Counter points:
1) TACO
2) You literally can’t put tariffs on specific countries in the EU, as Merkel tried to explain to him in 2017
3) Tariffs may be ruled against by the Supreme Court soon (odds are quite high)
4) If he was serious why wait until Feb 1st and then June 1st to increase it? Seems half-assed.
5) Military action seems unlikely with pushback as well as the UK, France Sweden, Denmark, Norway, Germany, Netherlands troops there. I simply can’t believe you’d have American troops being ordered to kill.
6) Next week he’ll be talking about Columbia or something else, notice how Venezuela has completely dropped off the radar?