Preparing for an invasion of Taiwan

u/cannythecat · Reddit — r/investing · January 17, 2026 at 18:19 · 💬 42 comments  | View on Reddit ↗
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Original Reddit post

Author expects a 2027 Chinese invasion of Taiwan, sees oil and defense stocks as longs, and proposes TSM and NVDA put leaps to profit from chip/tech declines.

Unpriced research observations (excluded from Calls and Returns):

TSM — SHORT Author expects China to invade Taiwan around 2027, destroying TSMC and disrupting global chip supply, which he believes will hit AI/tech stocks. He recommends TSM put leaps as a bearish directional trade on Taiwan Semiconductor; the option position would track declines in the underlying. ambiguous_option_contract

TSM and NVDA put leaps too.

NVDA — SHORT Author believes a 2027 Chinese invasion of Taiwan would destroy TSMC, disrupt global chip supply and cause AI/tech names to fall. He recommends NVDA put leaps as a bearish directional position on NVIDIA; the option would track declines in the underlying. ambiguous_option_contract

TSM and NVDA put leaps too.

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