ADBE might just be the best risk to reward stock on the market. What are your thoughts?

u/Silent_Storage7341 · Reddit — r/ValueInvesting · January 15, 2026 at 19:42 · ⬆ 5 pts · 💬 113 comments  | View on Reddit ↗
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Original Reddit post

Author argues Adobe (ADBE) is deeply undervalued at record lows, citing strong financials and comparing the AI-fear selloff to Alphabet's 2024 dip.

ADBE — LONG The author argues Adobe trades at record lows due to irrational fear that AI will take its market share, while fundamentals remain strong: Q4 2025 revenue up 10.5% YoY to $6.9B, 31.8% FCF growth, 35% EPS growth, 89% gross margins, and a forward PE of 13.19. He notes low debt and aggressive buybacks through March 2028 as supports, and compares the setup to Alphabet's 2024 undervaluation from ChatGPT fears. The main risk implied is that AI competition could genuinely erode Adobe's business.

We have ADBE trading at record lows right now due to negative sentiment around AI taking market share from Adobe.

Score 5
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u/Silent_Storage7341 Reddit r/ValueInvesting
Long ADBE on AI-fear mispricing
The author argues Adobe trades at record lows due to irrational fear that AI will take its market share, while fundamentals remain strong: Q4 2025 revenue up 10.5% YoY to $6.9B, 31.8% FCF growth, 35% EPS growth, 89% gross margins, and a forward PE of 13.19. He notes low debt and aggressive buybacks through March 2028 as supports, and compares the setup to Alphabet's 2024 undervaluation from ChatGPT fears. The main risk implied is that AI competition could genuinely erode Adobe's business.
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This Reddit post, published January 15, 2026, features u/Silent_Storage7341 discussing ADBE. 1 trade idea extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: u/Silent_Storage7341  · Tickers: ADBE