Thanks other redditors for sharing this in Valueinvesting and other subs last week.
# [DD] Setting the stage: Greenland news cycle, low float & actual value
**Ticker:** Greenland Technologies (GTEC).
If “the U.S. buying Greenland” actually becomes a real headline, the market is going to do what it always does and chase the most obvious ticker it can find. And funnily enough GTEC provides good value + has the name greenland in it (literally one of the only ones when you search greenland on trading platforms).
On one hand, the stock is beaten down and actually has real revenue, growth, and positive earnings (Q3 2025 revenue up 24.3% YoY and Net Income of ). On the other, **GTEC has a very small free float, around 5 million shares, so when volume shows up the price can move fast in either direction**.
GTEC is valued at \~1.5x EV/EBITDA and \~0.18x book value. You’re effectively buying assets for \~18 cents on the dollar. It trades at approximately 0.5x its liquid cash value and is effectively debt-free. But has some accounts receivable risk from China. But who cares about that in the short term?
# This Wednesday in DC: US/Denmark meeting about Greenland
Top diplomats from Denmark and *Greenland* will *meet US* Secretary of State Marco Rubio in Washington DC on *Wednesday, according to Bloomberg news.* [*https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-01-12/denmark-greenland-to-hold-talks-with-us-on-wednesday-tv2-says*](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-01-12/denmark-greenland-to-hold-talks-with-us-on-wednesday-tv2-says)
Also, Trump cannot stop talking about Greenland and it seems to occupy his entire brain function at all times, in addition to the new gorgeous White House Ballroom. Mango has even said the U.S. might consider military force as the U.S. "needs to occupy Greenland", and "One way or the other".
# Rally as retail starts to pile in
Any move would come from people buying shares directly. When a tiny float stock gets attention and only shares are available, price can skyrocket simply because there are not many sellers.
I've already seen multiple posts on Reddit start to gain traction and the stock is up 60% in a few days.
**TLDR:** If “U.S. buys Greenland” becomes a thing, people will chase the most obvious ticker. GTEC is the only one that comes up. It is cheap, low float, has real business behind it, and fits the narrative. It could skyrocket if retail starts to buy in. Short-term risk is low due to the value of underlying assets and low price. Volume is already picking up.
Welcome to the casino.