Why ASTS is the "Nvidia of Telecom" (but the market hasn't fully priced in 2026 yet)

u/Impossible_Coursee · Reddit — r/ValueInvesting · January 10, 2026 at 00:14 · 💬 15 comments  | View on Reddit ↗
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The author presents a bull case for AST SpaceMobile as the 'Nvidia of Telecom' based on BlueBird satellite deployment, high margins, and a potential SpaceX IPO re-rating.

ASTS — LONG The author argues AST SpaceMobile is the 'Nvidia of Telecom' because its BlueBird satellite deployments will reach the 45–60 satellites needed for continuous US coverage, shifting from science project to high-efficiency production. Once the constellation is built, marginal cost per user is near zero, supporting 80–90% EBITDA margins; Bank of America's $100 price target is cited. A SpaceX/Starlink IPO this year could re-rate space infrastructure and benefit ASTS as the pure-play Direct-to-Cell leader. Main stated risk is 10–15% daily volatility.

Most people miss this, ASTS is a software company in a hardware shell. Once the constellation is built, the marginal cost of adding a user is near zero. We’re talking EBITDA margins in the 80-90% range.

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u/Impossible_Coursee Reddit r/ValueInvesting
ASTS undervalued pure-play Direct-to-Cell with near-zero marginal costs.
The author argues AST SpaceMobile is the 'Nvidia of Telecom' because its BlueBird satellite deployments will reach the 45–60 satellites needed for continuous US coverage, shifting from science project to high-efficiency production. Once the constellation is built, marginal cost per user is near zero, supporting 80–90% EBITDA margins; Bank of America's $100 price target is cited. A SpaceX/Starlink IPO this year could re-rate space infrastructure and benefit ASTS as the pure-play Direct-to-Cell leader. Main stated risk is 10–15% daily volatility.
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This Reddit post, published January 10, 2026, features u/Impossible_Coursee discussing ASTS. 1 trade idea extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: u/Impossible_Coursee  · Tickers: ASTS