Are oil companies actually expensive?

u/DonJuansCrow · Reddit — r/ValueInvesting · January 09, 2026 at 18:08 · ⬆ 8 pts · 💬 19 comments  | View on Reddit ↗
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Original Reddit post

Author finds oil equities/XLE cheap on backward P/E after oil's 16% decline but expects negative volatility after Q4 reports, so is watching rather than buying.

XLE — WATCH The author is watching oil equities/XLE because backward P/E looks cheap after oil fell 16% over the last year, but expects negative volatility when Q4 reports are released. Canadian oil may not see Venezuela-related price impacts until after Q1.

the backwards pe looks cheap, but I think we'll have some negative volatility after we get q4 reports from the oil companies.

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u/DonJuansCrow Reddit r/ValueInvesting
Oil stocks cheap but near-term Q4 volatility risk.
The author is watching oil equities/XLE because backward P/E looks cheap after oil fell 16% over the last year, but expects negative volatility when Q4 reports are released. Canadian oil may not see Venezuela-related price impacts until after Q1.
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This Reddit post, published January 09, 2026, features u/DonJuansCrow discussing XLE. 1 trade idea extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: u/DonJuansCrow  · Tickers: XLE