Kaspi, AI done right

u/BearWithMeGM · Reddit — r/ValueInvesting · January 06, 2026 at 13:04 · ⬆ 2 pts · 💬 2 comments  | View on Reddit ↗
AI Summary

Original Reddit post

Author argues Kaspi is a cheap monopolistic Kazakh super app with Turkey expansion and AI efficiency as catalysts.

Unpriced research observations (excluded from Calls and Returns):

KSPI — LONG Kaspi.kz holds over 70% of e-commerce and over 80% of digital payments in Kazakhstan, trades at a TTM P/E of 7, and grows net income 15%. The dividend pause to fund Hepsiburada caused the stock to go sideways, but recent Hepsiburada quarterly results show signs of a major profitability turnaround, and once Kaspi completes the Rohobank acquisition and obtains a full bank license in Turkey in 2026, it can add financial instruments to repeat its formula. Its AI use in fraud detection, credit scoring, marketplace recommendations and merchant services is cheap and effective. The stated risk is predictable future currency weakness, though the tenge strengthened about 2% in 2025. resolved_entity_name_mismatch

selling for TTM PE value of just 7, grows net income 15% and if you wonder about currency, it is volatile and tend to weaken against dollar, but in 2025 it strengthened against dollar by about 2%

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