The "Taco Supreme" Thesis

u/AdOnly627 · Reddit — r/wallstreetbets · January 06, 2026 at 00:51 · ⬆ 10 pts · 💬 14 comments  | View on Reddit ↗
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Original Reddit post

Author holds SPY Feb 2026 $730 calls expecting a melt-up driven by a Supreme Court tariff ruling and Jan 28 Fed/earnings catalysts.

Unpriced research observations (excluded from Calls and Returns):

SPY — LONG Author is long SPY via Feb 27 2026 $730 calls, expecting a melt-up as a Supreme Court ruling declares tariffs unconstitutional and injects $200 billion in corporate tax refunds into the S&P 500. A catalyst cluster on Jan 28 includes the Fed decision, Meta and Microsoft earnings, and this liquidity injection. Option returns would track the SPY underlying rather than the option's premium/P&L. ambiguous_option_contract

The Catalyst: A SCOTUS ruling declaring the tariffs unconstitutional.

  • The Payout: A ~$200 Billion corporate tax refund injected instantly into the S&P 500.
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