Why is no one seeing the bigger picture?

u/SpareMaize9237 · Reddit — r/stocks · January 04, 2026 at 02:46 · 💬 27 comments  | View on Reddit ↗
AI Summary

Original Reddit post

Author presents bearish technical/macro theses on gold and oil and a conditional bearish NVIDIA put, citing overvaluation, supply catalysts, and geopolitical scenarios.

Unpriced research observations (excluded from Calls and Returns):

NVDA — WATCH The author's conditional bearish view on NVIDIA is that if China moves against Taiwan, chip supply will fall and tech companies will correct. The expressed trade is puts with a $140 strike expiring March 2027, so returns would track a decline in NVIDIA, entered only if that geopolitical condition occurs. No separate risk is stated beyond the condition. ambiguous_option_contract

This is my bet puts on gold($3500), oil($40), and tech stock market NVIDIA($140)(only if china moves pieces) expiration date march 2027

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