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Three years ago I started a personal experiment: could I beat the Nasdaq with a rules-based, diversified portfolio?
Rules:
• \~50 stocks
• Max position 10%
• Min position 0.5%
After three full years (see pic):
Result: I beat the Nasdaq…but only by a few percentage points per year.
The more important win wasn’t raw returns, it was risk-adjusted returns (see Sharp)
That being said, I’ve spent wayyy too much time to get that edge, we’ll see how 2026 goes but I may decide to do 80% QQQ and 20% in 5-10 high conviction names if alpha doesn’t improve.
For those curious, here’s my 2026 starting portfolio:
9%- NVDA
7.5% - MSFT, GOOG
6% - AAPL
5% - AMZN
4% - TSM, META, AVGO
3% - TSLA
2.5% - ASML
2% - PLTR, LRCX, RTX, TMO
1.5% - ISRG, KLAC, APH, BX, GEV, SHOP, NOW, DHR, BLK, BSX, SYK, PANW
1% - KKR, APO, RNMBY, MELI, ETN, BN, SNPS, HOOD, LHX, BAESY, CRWD, MRVL, SE, SNOW, NET, CDNS, LZAGY, COIN, ZS
0.5% - PRYMY, ESLT, RBRK, BESIY, AVAV
Would most people be better off buying QQQ and forgetting about it?
Probably.
But if you enjoy the process, think in multi-year windows, and care about Sharpe ratio over bragging rights, it can be done.