The Leading Stock is Ultimately Semiconductors! Samsung Electronics Strike…Should We View It Separately from Stock Price?!_26.05.20. | Noh Young-rae, Yeo Do-eun, Heo Jae-mu [Morning N Investment]

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  May 20, 2026 at 02:49  |  53:21  |  3PRO TV (삼프로TV)
Speakers
Noh Young-rae — Manager

Summary

Noh Young-rae discusses how high oil prices and rising US Treasury yields are pressuring global markets, but remains bullish on Korean semiconductor leaders Samsung and SK Hynix as the market's core holdings. He identifies Japanese defense stocks (Mitsubishi Heavy, Kawasaki Heavy) and Kioxia as attractive opportunities, while dismissing the Samsung strike as a minor issue and warning against overvalued space-related investments. The conversation also covers the macro backdrop, Japan's rearmament, and the dominance of AI-related semiconductors in driving returns.

  • Rising oil and US bond yields create headwinds for equities; markets await Fed clarity.
  • Samsung and SK Hynix are essential for outperforming the Korean market.
  • Only about 20-30 stocks in Korea can beat the semiconductor leaders.
  • Japan's defense industry is poised for growth as rearmament accelerates.
  • Kioxia is expected to surpass Toyota in operating profit, signaling a semiconductor revival.
  • The Samsung strike is seen as a manageable event, not a structural threat.
  • Space-related stocks are deemed overvalued and unappealing.
  • KOSDAQ may rally sharply if interest rates decline, but timing is uncertain.
Trade Ideas
Korea market needs semiconductor leaders.
The Korean stock market is dominated by Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, which together account for nearly half of the KOSPI 200 cap-weighted index. To outperform the market, investors need to allocate roughly half their domestic equity portfolio to these two semiconductor leaders, as only about 20-30 other stocks can beat them on a risk-adjusted basis. The AI cycle and strong earnings momentum support continued leadership. The Samsung strike is a non-event for long-term investors and could resolve positively.
Equal-weight ETF underperforms cap-weight.
The KODEX 200 Equal Weight ETF (which gives equal weight to all 200 components) has been persistently underperforming the cap-weighted KODEX 200 because the large-cap leaders (Samsung, Hynix) drive most of the market returns. Investors should avoid the equal-weight version unless they believe small- and mid-caps will catch up.
Japan defense companies have upside.
Japan is rearming and loosening its pacifist constitution, and the US is stepping back while Japan steps up. Mitsubishi Heavy Industries and Kawasaki Heavy Industries are the few remaining comprehensive defense contractors with significant upside potential. Once the restrictions are fully lifted, their ceiling is hard to estimate.
Kioxia leads NAND revival.
Kioxia, the surviving Japanese NAND flash maker (descendant of Toshiba memory), is expected to report operating profit exceeding Toyota Motor this year (about 4 trillion yen vs Toyota's 3 trillion yen). It represents the revival of Japan's semiconductor industry and could become a national stock.
Up Next

This 3PRO TV (삼프로TV) video, published May 20, 2026, features Noh Young-rae discussing 000660.KS, 005930.KS, KODEX 200 Equal Weight ETF, 7011.T, Kawasaki Heavy Industries, KIOXIA. 4 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Noh Young-rae  · Tickers: 000660.KS, 005930.KS, KODEX 200 Equal Weight ETF, 7011.T, Kawasaki Heavy Industries, KIOXIA