Why Good Investments End in Bad Sells

왜 좋은 투자는 나쁜 매도로 끝나는가
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 30, 2026 at 07:56  |  1:05:14  |  Chesley Investment Advisory (체슬리투자자문)
Speakers
Park Se-ik — CEO, ex-Chief Strategist

Summary

Park Se-ik and Choi Ho read and discuss the January 30 newspapers in this daily morning show. Key market implications include the dollar-yen rate as the February risk gauge, a plan to raise cash into early-month KOSPI strength, Hyundai Motor's re-rating toward physical AI and robotics, expected WGBI-driven inflows into Korean government bonds, POSCO Holdings' lithium-led earnings recovery, and the AI power-infrastructure bottleneck facing Korea. The hosts also stress sell discipline and long-horizon holding of quality companies.

  • USD/JPY falling toward 150 is flagged as the key February volatility risk, with risk management advised if it breaks.
  • After January's large KOSPI monthly candle, early-February strength is seen as an opportunity to build cash.
  • Norway selected Hanwha's K239 Chunmoo over HIMARS, and Hyundai Motor was re-rated as a physical-AI and robotics leader.
  • Foreign buying of Korean government bonds reached a record 121 trillion won ahead of WGBI inclusion in November.
  • POSCO Holdings is expected to pass its earnings trough as lithium prices rebound and its lithium projects ramp up.
  • The AI race is framed as a power-infrastructure race, requiring grids, UHVDC, nuclear and SMR, and storage in Korea.
  • Hosts explain that KOSDAQ financial-investment buying is mostly ETF liquidity-provider and arbitrage flow.
  • They emphasize sell discipline, patience, and long-term conviction in quality stocks.
Ideas
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 2:04
USD/JPY under 150 signals market turbulence
The dollar-yen exchange rate is the indicator he will watch most closely for February. It has already fallen from 158.9 to about 150.8, and past yen-strength episodes (July 2024 and early 2025) coincided with weak global and Korean equity markets. If USD/JPY breaks below 150 he expects market turbulence, so that level marks a shift to risk management, and he will detail it in the February 2 monthly outlook.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 3:23
Raise cash into early-February KOSPI strength
January ended with a large bullish monthly candle on the KOSPI, and after such monthly gains the upper wicks have historically appeared at the start of the following month. He therefore plans to sell into any additional early-February strength to build cash as a risk-management measure, with details to follow in the monthly outlook.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 32:29
Hyundai physical-AI re-rating worth monitoring
Hyundai Motor has been re-rated from a legacy automaker to a physical-AI and robotics leader after Boston Dynamics' Atlas humanoid impressed at CES, pushing the stock above 400,000 won and to a 528,000 won close. Hyundai's decade-long art-patronage partnerships (Tate, MoMA, LACMA) reflect a long-cycle philosophy tied to its robotics push, but the column cautions that it is not a buy recommendation, retail chasing has driven a short-term surge, software is being supplemented with Google DeepMind while Tesla's Optimus leverages driving data, and union agreement is required before robots enter plants.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 47:47
WGBI inclusion lifts Korean government bond demand
Foreigners bought a record 121 trillion won of Korean government bonds in 2025, up more than 150% year on year, ahead of Korea's inclusion in the FTSE World Government Bond Index in November. About 60 billion dollars of passive inflows are expected during the eight-month phased inclusion, which should increase demand, stabilize yields and lower funding costs for the government and corporates, and possibly support the won, though WGBI status is not permanent since Greece, Portugal and South Africa were ejected after downgrades in 2010-2012.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 50:58
Lithium rebound drives POSCO earnings recovery
POSCO Holdings had a weak 2025 with operating profit down 15.9% to 1.8 trillion won, but the steel division's operating profit rose 20.8% and POSCO International posted a record 1 trillion won. The 2026 rebound thesis rests on lithium, the white oil, up 86% from last year's average at 17.87 dollars per kg, with 43,000-ton lithium hydroxide plants, Argentine brine start-up and an Australian mine stake closing within the year; humanoid-robot and solid-state battery demand add upside, and an analyst quoted sees the fourth quarter as the trough with earnings rising in 2026.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 54:45
AI growth hinges on power infrastructure
The AI race has shifted from compute and talent to a power-infrastructure bottleneck: data centers need uninterrupted high-quality power, big tech is becoming a power buyer and developer, transformer shortages are delaying grid connections, and renewable intermittency raises system costs. Korea, with limited land and mid-tier solar irradiance, must quickly expand power grids and UHVDC, nuclear including SMR, hydrogen, long-duration storage and demand management, linking energy policy with industrial policy; he concludes that power-infrastructure build-out is urgent.
Up Next

This Chesley Investment Advisory (체슬리투자자문) video, published January 30, 2026, features Park Se-ik discussing USD/JPY, EWY, 005380.KS, Korean government bonds, 005490.KS, AI-SECTOR. 6 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Park Se-ik  · Tickers: USD/JPY, EWY, 005380.KS, Korean government bonds, 005490.KS, AI-SECTOR