Fed Served with DOJ Subpoenas, Performance of ‘OTGL’ ETF | ETF IQ 1/12/2026

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 12, 2026 at 18:26  |  22:52  |  Bloomberg Markets
Speakers
Rob Arnott — Chairman, Syzygy Asset Management
Mauricio Alvarez — CEO, OTG Asset Management
Eric Balchunas — Senior ETF Analyst, Bloomberg Intelligence
Athanasios Psarofagis — ETF Analyst, Bloomberg Intelligence
Scarlet Fu — Anchor, Bloomberg Television

Summary

Bloomberg ETF IQ discusses early-2026 ETF flows, the outlook for non-U.S. and small-cap equities, the RAFI fundamental indexing approach, and Latin America opportunities. Rob Arnott argues the U.S. bull market is aging and favors cheaper non-U.S. and small-cap exposure, while Mauricio Alvarez makes the case for Latin America and Andean markets. The show also covers Vanguard's fee strategy, a proposed Venezuela exposure ETF, and Eric Balchunas' OTGL watch pick.

  • Eric Balchunas reviews strong early-January ETF flows, with VOO and IVV leading and SPY seeing seasonal outflows.
  • Rob Arnott says the U.S. bull market is aging, non-U.S. markets are cheap relative to the U.S., and small caps trade at a deep discount with faster growth.
  • Arnott explains RAFI fundamental indexing and its value tilt, arguing it avoids cap-weighted index flip-flops.
  • Mauricio Alvarez says Latin America remains cheap and could benefit from a pro-market political shift.
  • Alvarez highlights Chile, Peru and Colombia as overlooked Andean opportunities.
  • Eric Balchunas puts OTGL, an actively managed Latin America ETF, on watch for 2026.
  • The show also discusses Vanguard's fee increases, a proposed Venezuela ETF, and Fed independence commentary.
Ideas
Rob Arnott Chairman, Syzygy Asset Management 3:18
Non-U.S. markets cheap versus aging U.S. bull
The U.S. bull market is aging and he would not chase U.S. stocks; non-U.S. markets are quite cheap relative to the U.S. even though American exceptionalism is real, so non-U.S. equities are the better relative opportunity.
Rob Arnott Chairman, Syzygy Asset Management 3:18
Non-U.S. markets cheap versus aging U.S. bull
The U.S. bull market is aging and he would not chase U.S. stocks; non-U.S. markets are quite cheap relative to the U.S. even though American exceptionalism is real, so non-U.S. equities are the better relative opportunity.
Rob Arnott Chairman, Syzygy Asset Management 3:35
Russell 2000 attractive versus Russell 1000
The Russell 2000 trades at less than half the multiples of the Russell 1000 on earnings, cash flow, book and sales, while actually growing earnings and sales faster; if those faster growth rates continue, small caps should win in the long run even as large-cap ETF flows keep the valuation wedge wide.
Rob Arnott Chairman, Syzygy Asset Management 6:43
RAFI fundamental weighting avoids cap-weight flip-flops
Research Affiliates' RAFI fundamental indexing weights companies by business size rather than market cap, which tilts toward value and avoids the cap-weighted index add/drop cycle that chases frothy growth and dumps deep value; this can improve growth, value and core strategies, and RAUS is the ticker expressing the approach.
Eric Balchunas Senior ETF Analyst, Bloomberg Intelligence 16:06
OTGL is 2026 Latin America watch pick
OTGL is an actively managed Latin America ETF with more Chile exposure than ILF, a small asset base, and exposure to the pro-business political wave sweeping the region; Eric put it on watch for 2026 because it is performing well versus broad emerging markets and could attract flows if Latin America decouples from EEM.
Mauricio Alvarez CEO, OTG Asset Management 17:51
Latin America cheap with pro-market political shift
Latin American equities remain attractive because valuations are still cheap at around 10-11x earnings versus 24x for the U.S. and 23x for China; the political cycle is shifting toward more pro-market, conservative governments in countries such as Chile, Argentina, Ecuador and Bolivia; and the region has a growing middle class and underdeveloped digital banking services, which should create opportunities.
Mauricio Alvarez CEO, OTG Asset Management 19:51
Andean markets offer overlooked mispriced equities
Within Latin America, the Andean region—especially Chile, Peru and Colombia—offers additional mispriced opportunities because most investors focus only on Brazil and Mexico; OTG's on-the-ground, local South American management team can find companies outside the typical radar.
Up Next

This Bloomberg Markets video, published January 12, 2026, features Rob Arnott, Eric Balchunas, Mauricio Alvarez discussing VXUS, SPY, IWM, RAUS, OTGL, ILF, ECH, EPU, Colombia. 7 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Rob Arnott, Eric Balchunas, Mauricio Alvarez  · Tickers: VXUS, SPY, IWM, RAUS, OTGL, ILF, ECH, EPU, Colombia