If You Thought Shipbuilding, Defense, and Nuclear Power Stocks Were Done... Now May Be the Exact Bottom / The Next Leading Stock King Is 'This Stock' | CEO Kim Min-su

조선주·방산주·원전주 끝난 줄 알았다면… 지금이 딱 저점일 수 있다 / 다음 주도주 왕은 바로 '이 주식' | 김민수 대표
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 01, 2026 at 07:30  |  23:29  |  815 Money Talk (815머니톡)
Speakers
Kim Min-soo — CEO

Summary

Kim Min-su, CEO of Lemon Research, argues that Korean defense and shipbuilding stocks may be near a bottom even though they have lagged. He expects order-driven defense/aerospace names and early-2026 shipbuilding orders to become catalysts, highlighting Hanwha group companies, Korea Aerospace Industries, LIG Nex1, and Samsung Heavy Industries. He also says semiconductor leadership has absorbed liquidity and suggests using post-earnings strength in Samsung Electronics and SK hynix to rotate into laggards.

  • Defense orders remain strong, but semiconductor liquidity and year-end tax/credit concerns have held back defense stocks.
  • The guest expects defense and aerospace to move after January earnings and as global rearmament continues.
  • Hanwha Aerospace, Hanwha Systems, Satrec Initiative, and Korea Aerospace Industries are highlighted as defense/aerospace implementation names.
  • Shipbuilding is viewed as an early-2026 order story supported by delayed LNG orders, rising tanker rates, and US shipbuilding constraints.
  • Hanwha Ocean is favored for US shipyard and LNG positioning; Samsung Heavy Industries has a raised 30,000 won target; LIG Nex1 is a post-Q1 earnings watch.
  • Semiconductor leaders Samsung Electronics and SK hynix are framed as a potential source of funds if they spike after earnings.
  • Nuclear power appears in the video framing but is not developed into a specific investment thesis.
Ideas
Order-driven Korean defense stocks remain attractive.
The speaker sees Korean defense as attractive in 2026 because it is an order-driven business: orders keep confirming future earnings and the global arms race is broadening despite peace negotiations. The sector has lagged mainly because semiconductor strength drained liquidity and because year-end tax/credit concerns weighed on sentiment; he expects defense to move as semiconductor momentum fades and investors rotate into laggards.
Hanwha Aerospace leads defense order re-rating.
A core beneficiary of defense order momentum and the rise of missiles as a key modern-warfare category. Its land/air/space portfolio and Hanwha group structure make it a large-cap way to play defense plus aerospace. It has consolidated even as earnings rose, compressing forward P/E from around 30x to around 20x; continued order confirmation and 2026 earnings should pull valuation higher.
Buy Hanwha Systems dips, sell rallies.
The speaker says Hanwha Systems is the Hanwha group's middle platform for defense systems, satellites, and communications, and it has more to show. He frames it as a trading stock rather than a buy-and-hold: buy on pullbacks and sell into sharp rallies.
Reduce semis on post-earnings strength.
Semiconductors, especially Samsung Electronics and SK hynix, have absorbed market liquidity and led the market. The speaker does not make a fresh long call: after January earnings, if semis spike strongly, he would use that strength to reduce semiconductor exposure and rotate the proceeds into lagging defense/shipbuilding; if semis do not stay firm, the rotation itself may not work.
Aerospace momentum stays supported by US space.
Space/aerospace momentum should remain supported because the US administration wants a visible moon/Mars push, Musk-related activity keeps the theme alive, and Korea's government is supporting space even after distancing itself from the prior nuclear-power emphasis. This supports the defense-plus-aerospace trade.
KAI orders can trigger a re-rating.
Korea Aerospace Industries is a lagging defense/aerospace prime with government backing. Its main FA-50/T-50 and KF-21 programs should bring orders; prior defect-related costs delayed earnings, but as those costs normalize and orders land, the stock can re-rate sharply.
Satellite data arm benefits from Hanwha.
The speaker cites Satrec Initiative as a satellite imagery and data-analysis company tied to Hanwha's space ecosystem; as satellite importance grows, its imagery/data sales can scale, and it is one of the strongest ways to play the aerospace/space theme with government or large-corporate backing.
LIG Nex1 needs first-quarter earnings recovery.
The speaker sees missile/air-defense demand rising in 2026, especially from Europe and frontline countries, which should help LIG Nex1. However, the stock had a high valuation and a poor earnings print, so he wants to wait for confirmation that operating profit has recovered, particularly after first-quarter earnings next year, before expecting a valuation re-rating.
Shipbuilding orders should revive in early 2026.
Korean shipbuilders are attractive into 2026 because early-year order announcements usually drive the stocks, delayed LNG carrier orders are likely to resume, tanker/LNG shipping rates are supported by aging fleets, and US LNG export policy plus US shipbuilding constraints create work for Korean yards. The speaker expects near-term weakness to be a setup for a move once orders are reflected.
Hanwha Ocean has US and LNG edge.
Hanwha Ocean is seen as the expensive but strategically best-positioned Korean yard in the US, using Philly Shipyard and Austal as platforms for US naval/commercial shipbuilding. It also has LNG carrier capability. The US strategic fleet/Jones Act debate and naval value can keep momentum alive despite valuation.
Samsung Heavy target raised on order recovery.
The speaker had recommended Samsung Heavy Industries from around 7,000 won and now raises his target to 30,000 won. Earnings are recovering, LNG/newbuild orders are expected to be reflected from early 2026, and he has not sold despite the sideways price action; order news should bring the next leg.
Up Next

This 815 Money Talk (815머니톡) video, published January 01, 2026, features Kim Min-soo discussing Korean defense sector, 012450.KS, 272210.KS, 005930.KS, 000660.KS, Korean aerospace/space sector, 047810.KS, 099320.KQ, 079550.KS, Korean shipbuilding sector, 042660.KS, 010140.KS. 11 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Kim Min-soo  · Tickers: Korean defense sector, 012450.KS, 272210.KS, 005930.KS, 000660.KS, Korean aerospace/space sector, 047810.KS, 099320.KQ, 079550.KS, Korean shipbuilding sector, 042660.KS, 010140.KS