Summary
The episode covers global market turmoil driven by the Iran war, rising oil prices, and a bond selloff. Chinese economic data disappoints, but a contrarian case for Chinese equities is presented. India's market suffers from oil dependency and lack of AI exposure, while JSW Steel's CEO discusses capex and demand. Samsung strike talks add to supply chain concerns.
- Iran war deadlock pushes oil above $100, stoking inflation fears and a bond selloff across Asia.
- China's April retail sales miss sharply, but Aberdeen Investments remains overweight on China as a contrarian opportunity.
- India's stock market nears dropping out of the world's top five, hurt by oil prices and no AI exposure.
- JSW Steel CEO Jayant Acharya outlines $2.5 billion capex plan, expects cost increases to be offset by steel price gains.
- Samsung enters last-ditch talks with its labor union to avert a strike that could disrupt global memory chip supply.
- Aberdeen's Pruksa Iamthongthong highlights AI cloud growth in Chinese internet names like Alibaba and Tencent.
- Energy security and China localization (AI self-sufficiency) are identified as long-term themes.
- The Indian rupee hits record lows, prompting government measures including gold import duty hikes.