Can the stock market sustain rising U.S. Treasury yields?

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  July 23, 2026 at 19:12  |  2:40  |  CNBC
Speakers
Peter Boockvar — Chief Investment Officer, BFG Wealth Partners
Mike Dickson — Head of Research, Horizon Investments

Summary

Peter Boockvar warns that US equities would be hurt if the 10-year yield reaches 5%, particularly because rising Japanese yields remove a global haven. Mike Dickson counters that strong earnings and real economic activity can offset higher yields, supporting the stock market.

  • Concern over whether the stock market can sustain a rise in the 10-year Treasury yield toward 5%.
  • Peter Boockvar says a 5% yield would cause pain for equities, with today's market weakness possibly a first sign.
  • He notes Japanese 10-year yields near a 30-year high, removing a traditional global low-yield haven.
  • Mike Dickson argues this year's yield increase reflects stronger economic activity, not just policy tightening.
  • Dickson believes robust earnings can offset higher yields and support stocks.
  • AI spending and productivity expectations are among the forces supporting current earnings strength.
Ideas
Peter Boockvar Chief Investment Officer, BFG Wealth Partners 0:24
Stocks cannot handle 5% yield unharmed
Earnings have been able to handle higher yields this year because the rise in yields is driven by stronger real economic activity, not just restrictive policy. This earnings strength can largely offset the headwind from higher yields, supporting the stock market.
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This CNBC video, published July 23, 2026, features Peter Boockvar discussing SPY. 1 trade idea extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Peter Boockvar  · Tickers: SPY