A Market Where Only Semiconductors Are Rising, It's Too Early to Be Relieved...From Now On, 'Selection and Concentration'

A Market Where Only Semiconductors Are Rising, It's Too Early to Be Relieved...From Now On, 'Selection and Concentration' | Jang Woojin, Geumsigong CEO [Market Inside]
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  August 13, 2026 at 00:17  |  42:39  |  3PRO TV (삼프로TV)
Speakers
Jang Woo-jin — Writer

Summary

The video discusses the current market environment where AI hardware and semiconductors are leading, while other sectors face pressure. The speaker advises compressing portfolios into high-quality companies with solid earnings, particularly highlighting the semiconductor and cosmetics OEM/ODM sectors. Additionally, the growing power demands of AI data centers are creating new opportunities in power equipment and hydrogen fuel cells.

  • KOSDAQ's ADR indicates overbought conditions, suggesting a need for portfolio compression.
  • AI hardware and semiconductors continue to show strong earnings, while AI software struggles with rising infrastructure costs.
  • Neocloud companies like Nebius are demonstrating strong margins and cash flow, contrasting with the rising costs faced by hyperscalers.
  • Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix are expected to announce significant shareholder returns based on strong cash flows.
  • Korean cosmetics OEM/ODM companies are experiencing structural growth driven by booming K-beauty exports.
  • The massive power requirements of AI data centers are driving demand for power equipment and hydrogen fuel cell companies.
Ideas
Take profits on overbought KOSDAQ stocks.
The ADR (Advance-Decline Ratio) for the KOSDAQ has entered overbought territory above 120 after a strong rebound. Rather than chasing the rally, investors should take profits or cut losses and compress their portfolios into high-quality companies with solid earnings.
AI hardware leads while software costs rise.
In the US market, AI hardware and semiconductors are the only sectors showing strong performance, driven by solid earnings and continuous demand for AI infrastructure, while other sectors lag.
Rising infrastructure costs pressure AI software margins.
AI software companies are struggling to rally alongside hardware because the massive investments required for AI infrastructure translate into significant cost increases that pressure their margins.
Strong margins and prepayments ease capex concerns.
Nebius reported strong earnings with a 41% EBITDA margin and positive cash flow funded by customer prepayments. This alleviates concerns about data center capex and demonstrates a sustainable funding model.
Neocloud reliance increases costs and competitive risks.
Hyperscalers are facing stock adjustments because their reliance on Neoclouds for AI infrastructure implies rising costs for themselves and simultaneous growth for their potential competitors.
Strong cash flow promises significant shareholder returns.
Samsung Electronics has high visibility for significant shareholder returns based on its policy to return 50% of its 3-year free cash flow. Given strong expected FCF, the total shareholder return could reach around 10% of its market cap.
Cancelled bond purchases signal potential shareholder returns.
SK Hynix recently cancelled its planned purchases of corporate bonds, signaling that the company might be preparing to use its accumulated cash for upcoming shareholder return announcements instead of seeking short-term yields.
K-beauty export boom drives structural OEM/ODM growth.
Korean cosmetics OEM/ODM companies are hitting all-time highs due to a structural boom in K-beauty exports and the rise of indie brands. This is an industry-wide growth trend, making them good long-term holds despite recent rapid surges.
Macro risks offset positive technical chart signals.
SK Square's chart shows a golden cross, which is typically a strong buy signal. However, macroeconomic uncertainties, particularly high oil prices and geopolitical risks involving Iran, make it risky to aggressively buy right now.
Brokerage upgrades drive momentum on earnings expectations.
Samsung Electro-Mechanics is seeing strong upward momentum driven by target price upgrades from foreign brokerages like Morgan Stanley, based on expectations of continuous earnings improvement.
Solid long-term holding reduces overall portfolio volatility.
Although Samsung Biologics is currently facing short-term adjustments due to sector rotation, it remains a solid long-term portfolio holding that can help reduce overall portfolio volatility.
SpaceX gains priced in amid weak Q3.
Mirae Asset Securities should not be rushed into because the valuation gains from its SpaceX investment are already priced in, and there are concerns about potential negative earnings impacts in the third quarter.
ETF offers safe exposure to semiconductor equipment.
Since the semiconductor equipment and materials sector is performing well, investing in a broad ETF like KODEX Semiconductor is a practical way to gain exposure without the risk of picking individual stocks.
AI infrastructure demands drive power equipment backlogs.
Power equipment companies like Iljin Electric are reporting strong earnings and piling up order backlogs, driven by the structural need for power infrastructure to support AI data centers.
AI data centers drive fuel cell demand.
Hydrogen fuel cell companies are surging because AI data centers require massive power. Nebius's contract with Bloom Energy highlights this demand, and Doosan Fuel Cell is rumored to secure big tech contracts.
Up Next

This 3PRO TV (삼프로TV) video, published August 13, 2026, features Jang Woo-jin discussing KOSDAQ, AI Semiconductors, AI software, NBIS, MSFT, GOOGL, META, AMZN, 005930.KS, 000660.KS, 161890.KS, Cosmax, Cosmecca Korea, Pum-Tech Korea, 402340.KS, 009150.KS, 207940.KS, 006800.KS, KODEX Semiconductor, Iljin Electric, 033260.KQ, Bumhan Fuel Cell, 126340.KQ. 15 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Jang Woo-jin  · Tickers: KOSDAQ, AI Semiconductors, AI software, NBIS, MSFT, GOOGL, META, AMZN, 005930.KS, 000660.KS, 161890.KS, Cosmax, Cosmecca Korea, Pum-Tech Korea, 402340.KS, 009150.KS, 207940.KS, 006800.KS, KODEX Semiconductor, Iljin Electric, 033260.KQ, Bumhan Fuel Cell, 126340.KQ