About a month of correction expected, now is a contrarian investment period | Park Se-ik Executive Director & Chesley Investment Advisory [Morning Brief / 26.08.26.Wed]

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  August 26, 2026 at 02:07  |  18:06  |  Chesley Investment Advisory (체슬리투자자문)
Speakers
Park Se-ik — CEO, ex-Chief Strategist
Choi Ho — Vice President

Summary

The video discusses the current market environment, highlighting that despite recent volatility, leading indicators like Bitcoin suggest risk appetite remains intact. The speakers analyze the Korean SoC substrate sector, emphasizing the massive margin expansion potential for companies entering Nvidia's supply chain. Finally, they advise a contrarian range-trading strategy for the KOSPI during its expected one-month consolidation phase.

  • AI tools are disrupting traditional professional services like legal and translation businesses.
  • Bitcoin's recent rebound indicates that broader market risk sentiment remains stable.
  • Simmtech leads Korean SoC substrate companies in projected revenue, followed by TLB and Korea Circuit.
  • TLB's entry into Nvidia's Rubin supply chain is expected to drive significant operating margin expansion.
  • The KOSPI is expected to undergo a trendless consolidation phase for about a month.
  • Investors are advised to range-trade the KOSPI, buying below 2,650 and selling above 2,700.
Ideas
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 7:30
Bitcoin's strong rebound signals resilient risk appetite.
Bitcoin serves as a highly accurate leading indicator for risk asset sentiment. Its recent strong rebound from 88 million to 110 million KRW, along with the 8% surge in crypto-linked stocks like Robinhood, indicates that the broader US market is not facing an imminent collapse and risk appetite remains intact.
Choi Ho Vice President 13:08
Simmtech leads the SoC substrate sector's attractiveness.
In the Korean SoC substrate sector, stock performance and attractiveness are directly correlated with revenue capacity. Simmtech is the most attractive with a projected 300 billion KRW in SoC revenue next year, followed by TLB at 150 billion KRW, and Korea Circuit at 100 billion KRW.
Choi Ho Vice President 13:08
Simmtech leads the SoC substrate sector's attractiveness.
TLB is entering Nvidia's Rubin supply chain later this year, which is driving massive margin expansion. Despite the new SoC-related products accounting for only 5% of total revenue this quarter, company-wide operating margins exceeded 10%, implying the new product margins could be over 30%. With Q4 operating margins projected to reach 12-15%, the market is significantly underestimating TLB's profitability, creating large upside potential.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 16:45
Range-trade the KOSPI during its one-month consolidation.
The Korean market is currently in a trendless consolidation phase that is expected to last about a month. Investors should employ a contrarian range-trading strategy for the index, accumulating below the 2,650 level and reducing exposure above 2,700, while maintaining long-term positions in fundamentally strong stocks until next spring.
Up Next

This Chesley Investment Advisory (체슬리투자자문) video, published August 26, 2026, features Park Se-ik, Choi Ho discussing BTC, HOOD, 222800.KQ, 024110, TLB, EWY. 4 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Park Se-ik, Choi Ho  · Tickers: BTC, HOOD, 222800.KQ, 024110, TLB, EWY