Ideas
SK Hynix buyback sparks rebounding rally
SK Hynix announced after the close a 40 trillion won buyback and cancellation program, triggering an 8%+ after-hours rebound and likely urgent short covering by foreign investors who had sold roughly 2.2 trillion won of the stock during regular trading. The speaker sees the after-hours surge as evidence that the prior semiconductor selloff was not fundamentally rational and that the market is strongly rewarding shareholder return.
Expect USD/KRW stabilization around 1,400
The speaker sees USD/KRW around 1,400 as a reasonable new normal that is not bad for exporters, while a sharp slide below 1,400 is not justified by Korea's lower GDP growth and lower rates versus the US and could create side effects. He prefers natural movement centered around 1,400.
Foreign inflows keep semiconductor leadership
Since the August 11 semiconductor rebound, foreign investors have bought more than 10 million shares of Samsung Electronics even after excluding passive rebalancing and hedge-fund selling; medium-term foreign inflows continue. The speaker argues the market leadership remains Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix rather than KOSDAQ small caps.
Use pharma/bio rebounds to reduce
Pharmaceuticals and biotech have been strong while semiconductors were weak, but as semiconductors enter a recovery phase pharma/bio may face rotation pressure. The speaker suggests using rebounds in pharma/bio to gradually reduce exposure.
Foreigners buying Korean semiconductor supplier names
Korean semiconductor materials/parts/components names are extremely volatile with semiconductor swings, but foreign investors are steadily buying select names. The speaker advises keeping this group in focus and building response strategies rather than ignoring it.
KOSDAQ rally likely after October
Current KOSDAQ strength is mostly short covering from long-short liquidation, not confirmed leadership. The speaker expects an aggressive KOSDAQ phase only after October-November when rate-cycle and risk rotation support it; until then, focus on more restricted sectors such as semiconductor supplier names.
US stocks seasonally positive from October
US equity seasonality around midterm elections shows August-September is typically the worst period, while from October onward the market revives and can rally after the election. The speaker views the difficult part as mostly ending and says the US market can be seen more positively into the midterms.
Korean market rebound after overhang clears
Once the three semiconductor overhang factors—semiconductor peak fears, China semiconductor risk, and shareholder value disappointment—are resolved by buybacks, the Korean market can rebound. With US midterm stimulus supporting consumer cyclicals, the second half should see a limited but profitable rotation led by semiconductors and earnings-strong consumer cyclicals.
Power equipment can lead rebound
Power equipment corrected as severely as semiconductors but is now showing strong rebounds in the US market and can be a rebound leader. The speaker says this sector had severe adjustment and is bouncing firmly.
Focus on cosmetics within consumer cyclicals
As US midterm fiscal stimulus appears, consumer cyclical names should be watched. In Korea autos and mobile are difficult because Hyundai Motor is tied up with robotics optics and Samsung Electronics is viewed as a semiconductor play, so the remaining quality earnings plays are cosmetics and some food; focus on cosmetics with strong individual results.
This 815 Money Talk (815머니톡) video, published August 19, 2026,
features Lee Ji-hwan
discussing 000660.KS, USD/KRW, 005930.KS, XLV, Korean semiconductor materials/parts/components sector, KOSDAQ Index, SPY, EWY, Korean Power Equipment Sector, KORU.
10 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.
Speakers:
Lee Ji-hwan
· Tickers:
000660.KS,
USD/KRW,
005930.KS,
XLV,
Korean semiconductor materials/parts/components sector,
KOSDAQ Index,
SPY,
EWY,
Korean Power Equipment Sector,
KORU