Chesley Morning Brief: Three Major Indices Close Higher as Bargain Hunting Returns to Tech Stocks (Feb 10, 2026)

[체슬리모닝브리프] 3대 지수 일제히 반등 마감…기술株 저가 매수 심리 유입 [26/02/10]
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  February 10, 2026 at 00:29  |  1:46:40  |  Chesley Investment Advisory (체슬리투자자문)
Speakers
Choi Ho — Vice President
Park Se-ik — CEO, ex-Chief Strategist
Wang Jeong — Department Head

Summary

The briefing reviewed a rebound in US technology, software, and semiconductor shares, with low-rate and low-dollar conditions supporting risk sentiment. Choi Ho argued that the AI software selloff looks overdone and that memory names such as Micron, Samsung Electronics, and SK hynix remain supported by tight supply and HBM4 competition. Park Se-ik discussed rotation from defensives into beaten-down AI software, Korean market strength, and a potential won-strength and KOSPI rally. Wang Jung covered China's market rebound and highlighted Yum China's earnings and shareholder-return outlook.

  • US indices rebounded led by technology, software, and select semiconductor names.
  • OpenAI-related news and strong Alphabet debt demand supported mega-cap tech sentiment.
  • Choi Ho viewed the AI software selloff as overdone and highlighted Spotify, monday.com, Robinhood, Oracle, and Palantir.
  • Micron sold off on HBM4 share concerns, but memory pricing and hyperscaler capex remain supportive; Samsung and SK hynix gain.
  • Bitcoin weakness was attributed to forced liquidation from a Hong Kong hedge fund and IBIT selling rather than structural crypto damage.
  • Korean market strength continued; Doosan Tesna, Amorepacific, APR, and Hanwha Aerospace were discussed with watch or long considerations.
  • Park Se-ik favored rotating from Coca-Cola into AI software and saw won strength as potentially lifting KOSPI.
  • Wang Jung noted China market gains, yuan appreciation, and a bullish Yum China update on cash returns and valuation.
Ideas
Choi Ho Vice President 7:33
Micron selloff looks overdone
Samsung's HBM4 mass production for Nvidia Vera Rubin and SemiAnalysis cutting Micron's HBM4 share forecast to 0 pressured the stock, but memory supply remains tight, DRAM and NAND prices are rising, hyperscaler AI capex is strong, and management denied yield issues, so the selloff looks overdone.
Choi Ho Vice President 7:45
Samsung gains Nvidia HBM4 role
Samsung Electronics is starting HBM4 mass production for Nvidia's Vera Rubin this month, and SemiAnalysis expects Samsung to take about 30% of HBM4 share, a positive catalyst versus Micron.
Choi Ho Vice President 8:18
HBM4 lead supports SK hynix
SK hynix is expected to hold about 70% of HBM4 share, and the stock closed strongly despite foreign selling, supported by tight memory supply and rising DRAM and NAND prices.
Choi Ho Vice President 9:44
Software selloff overdone; earnings support select names
The software and AI software selloff looks overdone: S&P software and services earnings growth estimates were revised up from 16% to 19%, and many AI software stocks de-rated even as EPS rose; upcoming earnings should clarify whether fears about Anthropic Claude Cowork damaging their growth are justified.
Choi Ho Vice President 10:59
Oracle rebound supported by OpenAI, upgrade
Oracle rebounded as OpenAI growth and funding prospects improved, and DA Davidson upgraded the stock to Buy, arguing enterprise customers will keep paying for Oracle software and that concerns over software disruption are overdone.
Choi Ho Vice President 12:01
Robinhood earnings event needs watching
Robinhood has a positive Wolfe Research view on prediction-market growth, but crypto trading weakness and competition are risks; the stock is de-rated ahead of earnings, with revenue growth expected but EPS down on a high base.
Choi Ho Vice President 14:54
Bitcoin crash mostly forced liquidation
Bitcoin's sharp drop is attributed mainly to a Hong Kong hedge fund liquidation and forced selling of BlackRock's IBIT by market makers, not structural crypto weakness; Strategy and Bitmine continue buying, so monitor whether price stabilizes rather than treating it as a stock-market risk.
Choi Ho Vice President 16:49
China reserve shift supports gold
China is reducing US Treasury holdings and diversifying reserves toward gold, supporting a bullish gold backdrop; gold had pulled back but rebounded 2% and broke $5,000.
Choi Ho Vice President 38:31
Spotify de-rating looks excessive
Spotify is down 46.5% from its high even though revenue is expected to grow 18%, operating margin 14.2%, and EPS 68.5%; PER de-rated from over 60x to 28x, suggesting the selloff is external and sentiment-driven and earnings could surprise.
Choi Ho Vice President 40:32
monday.com decline looks overdone
monday.com is down 37.2% from its high despite expected revenue growth of 17%, operating margin of 77.2%, and EPS growth of 70.6%; PER fell from over 50x to 30x, so the decline appears sentiment-driven.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 46:45
Rotate out of Coca-Cola
Coca-Cola is a crowded defensive staple near highs with about 24x PER and only low-single-digit growth; Park would remove it from his model portfolio and rotate back into beaten-down AI software names.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 47:03
Palantir selloff creates buying opportunity
Palantir fell from above $200 to around $130 due to broad AI-software sentiment rather than direct competition from Anthropic Claude Cowork, creating a buying opportunity near $120.
Choi Ho Vice President 60:42
Samsung foundry H2 benefits Doosan Tesna
Samsung foundry news is improving and foundry momentum is expected in H2, making Doosan Tesna, a foundry supply-chain name, worth watching.
Wang Jeong Department Head 73:54
Amorepacific needs more quarters
Amorepacific surged 20% after COSRX returned to growth and U.S. and Europe sales improved, but one-off costs and low margins at acquired brands mean at least two more quarters of confirmed numbers are needed; it is a watch-list name, not a clean buy yet.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 76:01
APR relatively attractive in cosmetics
APR has recently posted good earnings and its PER has fallen to about 22x, making it relatively more attractive than Amorepacific in Korean cosmetics.
Choi Ho Vice President 80:20
Hanwha Aerospace orders support outlook
Hanwha Aerospace's Q4 missed on one-off charges, but defense margin excluding one-offs was about 23%, backlog reached KRW 37tn with 71% exports, and a large pipeline including Poland, Saudi MNG, Spain, and Romania supports a Buy rating and target price of KRW 1.57m.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 93:01
Defense sector as economic shelter
Defense companies are relatively uncorrelated with the economic cycle, so the sector can be a defensive shelter when macro noise rises.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 96:17
Won undervalued; expect strength
The Korean won looks undervalued at around 1,460 per dollar, and if offshore yuan strength continues, USD/KRW could fall quickly toward 1,400, supporting Korean assets.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 96:31
Won strength could lift KOSPI
If the won strengthens as expected, foreign sentiment and liquidity could improve enough to give the Korean equity market another rally.
Wang Jeong Department Head 96:46
Yum China cash returns support upside
Yum China beat consensus with Q4 revenue up 9%, KFC and Pizza Hut same-store sales positive, a 7.7% shareholder-return yield, and a plan from 2027 to return 100% of cash flow; KB sees 14% upside and PBR re-rating with EPS support from buybacks.
Up Next

This Chesley Investment Advisory (체슬리투자자문) video, published February 10, 2026, features Choi Ho, Park Se-ik, Wang Jeong discussing MU, 005930.KS, 000660.KS, IGV, ORCL, HOOD, BTC, GLD, SPOT, MNDY, KO, PLTR, 131970.KQ, 090430.KS, APR, 012450.KS, ITA, USD/KRW, EWY, YUMC. 20 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Choi Ho, Park Se-ik, Wang Jeong  · Tickers: MU, 005930.KS, 000660.KS, IGV, ORCL, HOOD, BTC, GLD, SPOT, MNDY, KO, PLTR, 131970.KQ, 090430.KS, APR, 012450.KS, ITA, USD/KRW, EWY, YUMC