Even if the Fed freezes interest rates, it's not enough... Microsoft rises after-hours on strong earnings

Even if the Fed freezes interest rates, it's not enough...Microsoft rises after-hours on strong earnings [Wall Street Newsletter]
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  July 29, 2026 at 22:03  |  45:19  |  3PRO TV (삼프로TV)
Speakers
Park Myung-seok — Curator

Summary

Curator Park Myung-suk covers a brutal market day where the Fed holding rates was interpreted as a mistake, sending bond yields and volatility soaring. He reviews after-hours earnings: Microsoft rose on solid results, Meta plunged on a miss and high capex, while software names like Fortinet surged and consumer stocks Starbucks and Chipotle rallied. The theme of a forgiving software sector versus a harshly judged AI hardware sector emerges, along with a call for investor resilience amid extreme stress.

  • Federal Reserve held rates but the market saw it as dovish error, with the 30-year Treasury yield hitting 5.2% for the first time since 2007.
  • Equity markets saw massive intraday swings with three $3 trillion market-cap moves, eventually closing lower.
  • After-hours: Microsoft up ~2% on clean beat; Meta down 9.5% on EPS miss and heavy capex; Qualcomm and ARM declined, while Lam Research and Fortinet jumped.
  • A clear divergence was highlighted: AI hardware faces punishingly high bar, while software names like Fortinet only need stable earnings to rally.
  • Consumer defensive plays Starbucks and Chipotle both rose about 5% after strong, controversy-free reports.
  • Park Myung-suk described the market as relentlessly beating down participants and urged viewers not to give up, emphasizing resilience.
  • Truist analysts relayed a view that the semiconductor sell-off is a buying opportunity in Nvidia and AMD, but the curator did not endorse the call.
Ideas
Microsoft earnings solid, stock can rise.
Microsoft delivered solid earnings with no red flags, its stock has not run up recently, providing room for upside even as the broader market struggles.
Meta missed earnings, capex high, avoid.
Meta missed EPS estimates, capex spending remained high, and weak guidance caused the stock to plunge 9.5% after-hours; the hardware-heavy AI capex narrative is punishing the name.
Qualcomm missed, hardware punished, avoid.
Qualcomm missed EPS estimates and gave disappointing guidance, leading to a 6% drop; the market is heavily penalizing any hardware shortfall.
ARM mixed results, hardware sell-off continues.
ARM Holdings met EPS but showed yellow flags on margins and gave a wide guidance range, causing the stock to reverse gains and fall 2.6% as the hardware sector remains out of favor.
Lam Research beat, resilient hardware exception.
Lam Research beat EPS estimates and reported higher gross margins, bucking the harsh AI hardware sell-off and posting a 5% after-hours gain.
Fortinet benefits from software sector leniency.
Fortinet surged 11% after-hours because the market is treating software stocks more kindly: only moderate earnings stabilization is enough to lift share prices, while hardware faces a much harsher bar.
Starbucks clean earnings, stock rallies.
Starbucks reported flawless earnings with no negatives, and its stock had not been excessively bid up, so it gained 5% after-hours as consumer defensive names offered refuge.
Chipotle joins consumer rally post-earnings.
Chipotle, similar to Starbucks in the consumer space, delivered strong results and its stock rose 5% after-hours, showing that well-run consumer names are getting rewarded in the current volatility.
Up Next

This 3PRO TV (삼프로TV) video, published July 29, 2026, features Park Myung-seok discussing MSFT, META, QCOM, ARM, LRCX, FTNT, SBUX, CMG. 8 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Park Myung-seok  · Tickers: MSFT, META, QCOM, ARM, LRCX, FTNT, SBUX, CMG