Chip Stocks Crash, $20B Fund Margin Called, Frontier Labs: SLOW DOWN AI, Mamdani's Grocery Stores

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  July 31, 2026 at 22:51  |  1:36:34  |  All-In Podcast
Speakers
David Sacks — General Partner, Craft Ventures
David Friedberg — CEO, The Production Board
Chamath Palihapitiya — CEO, Social Capital

Summary

The hosts discuss the crash in chip stocks driven by leverage and momentum, highlighted by a $20B hedge fund's margin call and massive liquidations in South Korea. They explore macro pressures from rising US long-term Treasury yields and persistent inflation, China's growing AI and semiconductor capabilities, and a petition from frontier lab employees to slow AI development. Additional segments cover book shredding for AI training data, New York City's new socialist grocery stores, and a science corner on fruit fly brain mapping revealing 64-dimensional network complexity.

  • Chip stocks plunge as leveraged bets unwind, with South Korea seeing over a million margin calls and a 40% drop in the KOSPI.
  • Leopold Aschenbrenner's $20B fund was margin called and its public portfolio sold to Citadel.
  • The US 30-year Treasury yield crosses 5.2%, making government bonds attractive relative to high-valuation AI stocks.
  • China's open-source AI models and domestic chip manufacturing (lithography, memory) are threatening the US AI value chain.
  • Employees of Anthropic and OpenAI sign a letter asking the US government to pace frontier AI development, sparking debate over regulatory capture.
  • Anthropic is reportedly shredding rare books to obtain unique training data, raising legal and ethical questions.
  • New York City announces five city-owned grocery stores offering 30% monthly discounts, framed as a socialist spectacle that could gain political traction.
  • A fruit fly brain mapping study shows that modeling neuronal connections requires 64-dimensional space, hinting at the extraordinary complexity underlying consciousness.
Ideas
David Sacks General Partner, Craft Ventures 7:01
AI capex real, correction leveraged unwind
With the US 30-year Treasury yield breaking above 5.2%, offering an effective pre-tax return of nearly 10%, high-multiple AI semiconductor stocks (50x earnings) become unattractive on a risk-adjusted basis. This relative value shift creates an incentive for markets to rotate out of AI chip bets and pop the valuation bubble, favoring government bonds.
David Friedberg CEO, The Production Board 15:39
High bond yields make overpriced semis unattractive
With the US 30-year Treasury yield breaking above 5.2%, offering an effective pre-tax return of nearly 10%, high-multiple AI semiconductor stocks (50x earnings) become unattractive on a risk-adjusted basis. This relative value shift creates an incentive for markets to rotate out of AI chip bets and pop the valuation bubble, favoring government bonds.
Up Next

This All-In Podcast video, published July 31, 2026, features David Sacks, David Friedberg discussing SOX, TLT. 2 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: David Sacks, David Friedberg  · Tickers: SOX, TLT