Bears were Right. I was Wrong. I Got Rekt.

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  June 09, 2026 at 19:26  |  32:20  |  Taiki Maeda
Speakers
Taiki Maeda — Founder, HFA Research

Summary

Taiki admits his Bitcoin long thesis based on Saylor’s STRH was wrong and led to losses. He reviews his portfolio, explaining why he remains long Hyperliquid (HYPE) as a cash-flow compounder, views Ethereum as overvalued, and builds a contrarian bull case for Zcash (ZEC) as a counter-move against industry frustrations, planning to re-enter if it recovers to $600. The video is a mix of coping, reflection, and re-articulating his high-conviction views.

  • Bitcoin bull thesis around Saylor’s STRH buying failed to sustain and was invalidated.
  • Hyperliquid (HYPE) remains a core long-term holding due to secular perps growth and cash flows.
  • Ethereum (ETH) is declared overvalued because its store-of-value narrative failed and cash-flow valuation makes no sense.
  • Zcash (ZEC) is presented as a privacy/quantum hedge and a counter-movement to current market frustrations.
  • If ZEC recovers above $600, the speaker will buy back, viewing the recovery as proof of anti-fragility.
  • The speaker sold ZEC near the lows in a panic and is now sitting in cash, focusing on mental reset and avoiding revenge trading.
  • He expects a polar outcome for ZEC: either a massive pump in months or a slow bleed, and will respect the price action.
Ideas
Taiki Maeda Crypto Trader & Analyst 5:19
ETH overvalued, no buyers above $3k
Ethereum has failed as money, and without a store-of-value narrative, it must be valued on cash flows, which makes it overvalued and unattractive. No buyers are stepping in above $3,000-$4,000.
Taiki Maeda Crypto Trader & Analyst 7:03
HYPE is winning, hold long-term
Hyperliquid is a winner in perpetual futures with secular tailwinds as the overall pie for perps grows. It generates cash flow, can compound, and is not a trade-around asset; it should be held for long-term capital gains.
Taiki Maeda Crypto Trader & Analyst 14:05
ZEC recovery to $600 triggers buy
Zcash represents a counter-movement to industry frustrations with Saylor and Bitcoin, offering quantum resistance, privacy, and a store-of-value hedge. It recently suffered a leverage washout that, if recovered to ~$600, would prove anti-fragility and trigger a powerful reflexive rally. The speaker plans to buy back on a recovery and sees thousands of dollars potential in 6-12 months.
Up Next

This Taiki Maeda video, published June 09, 2026, features Taiki Maeda discussing ETH, HYPE, ZEC. 3 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Taiki Maeda  · Tickers: ETH, HYPE, ZEC