Using AI to fight fraudulent returns: Here's what to know

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 15, 2026 at 14:08  |  4:03  |  CNBC
Speakers
Courtney Reagan — Senior Retail Reporter, CNBC
Joe Kernen — Co-Anchor, Squawk Box

Summary

CNBC's Courtney Reagan reports that retailers are using AI to reduce the cost of fraudulent returns. The segment highlights UPS-owned Happy Returns, which uses AI to detect return fraud, and Narvar, which uses AI to reduce fraudulent delivery-claim payouts for retailers including Lululemon and DSW. It also notes high online return rates and discusses vendor risk when retailers fail.

  • Courtney Reagan reports from Valencia, California, on AI use in retail returns fraud detection.
  • Fraudulent returns are estimated at about 9% of returned goods, or $75 billion.
  • UPS-owned Happy Returns uses human and AI inspection to score fraud risk at the point of return.
  • Happy Returns processes returns for major retailers and operates at thousands of return bars.
  • Narvar uses AI to cut fraudulent delivery-claim payouts by 25% for 1,500 retailers.
  • Online return rates are 25% to 30%, versus 10% to 12% in stores, with women's dresses as high as 90%.
  • Joe Kernen comments on the risk to vendors when a retailer fails or misrepresents its finances.
Ideas
Courtney Reagan Senior Retail Reporter, CNBC 0:39
AI cuts fraudulent return costs for retailers
Retailers are increasingly using AI to detect fraudulent returns, a meaningful cost-saving opportunity because fraudulent returns are roughly 9% of returned goods, or $75 billion, and online return rates are 25% to 30%, with categories such as women's dresses seeing return rates as high as 90%. AI inspections can catch fraud that human review misses, helping retailers avoid paying out fraudulent claims and reducing the risk that those costs are passed to shoppers through higher prices.
Courtney Reagan Senior Retail Reporter, CNBC 1:10
UPS owns AI-powered Happy Returns fraud detection
UPS owns Happy Returns, which the segment describes as the only reverse-logistics firm using AI to detect fraud at the point of return. Happy Returns processes millions of returned items monthly across 8,000 return bars for major retailers, giving UPS a differentiated asset in reverse logistics and return-fraud detection.
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This CNBC video, published January 15, 2026, features Courtney Reagan discussing RETAILERS, UPS. 2 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Courtney Reagan  · Tickers: RETAILERS, UPS