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Extreme concentration in Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, is it a danger signal? / KOSPI surged 111% this year, KOSDAQ fell -4%, unprecedented polarization | CEO Kim Hyeong-cheol

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  June 26, 2026 at 05:00  |  21:57  |  815 Money Talk (815머니톡)
Speakers
Kim Hyeong-cheol — CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute

Summary

The interview with CEO Kim Hyeong-cheol highlights the severe KOSPI-KOSDAQ performance divergence caused by Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix's dominance. He warns that the valuation gap between SK Hynix and Micron has closed, eliminating the cheapness argument and suggesting caution on new purchases. He advises waiting for SK Hynix's July earnings, and expects half-year rebalancing to benefit defense, shipbuilding, and power equipment. He also recommends global diversification into US biotech and Japanese retail, and sees a profit-taking target on KOSPI near 10,000.

  • Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix propel KOSPI +111% YTD while KOSDAQ falls -4%, creating extreme concentration.
  • SK Hynix's PER now matches Micron's, closing the historical discount; new buying is risky.
  • Existing semiconductor holdings should be kept, but fresh entries should be delayed until after Q2 earnings.
  • Half-year rebalancing could unlock capital into defense (LIG Nex1, Rheinmetall), shipbuilding, and power equipment sectors.
  • Prefer global plays: US biotech (XBI) and Japanese retail (Fast Retailing) over struggling Korean small-caps.
  • Tactical sell target on KOSPI around 10,000, taking profits from 9,500 upward.
  • Memory cycle not over but valuations no longer support aggressive accumulation.
Ideas
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 4:46
Valuation gap with Micron has closed.
Earnings-driven PER compression in Micron has shrunk the discount that Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix historically enjoyed. SK Hynix now trades at ~8x forward PER, comparable to Micron's 8.4x, while Samsung is at 6.8x. The long-standing argument that Korean memory stocks deserve to trade at a discount because they are cheaper no longer holds. While the memory upcycle is not over and existing positions can be maintained, initiating new positions at these levels is risky and likely offers poor risk/reward.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 9:17
Go global: US biotech, Japan retail.
The Korean market is extremely polarized, with KOSDAQ underperforming. A better strategy to diversify is to allocate globally. The US biotech sector, represented by the XBI ETF, has been rallying, while Korean biotech is struggling. Japanese retail, such as Fast Retailing, is hitting new highs. These global themes offer superior momentum and diversification.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 13:10
Rebalancing may boost defense and shipbuilding.
The upcoming half-year rebalancing by institutional investors at end-June may release funds that have been concentrated in Samsung and SK Hynix, and flow into underperforming sectors that have solid earnings and strong order backlogs, namely defense, shipbuilding, and power equipment. LIG Nex1 has additional momentum from European cooperation, and Rheinmetall is also active, making them potential beneficiaries.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 20:39
Sell KOSPI index near 10,000.
As the KOSPI index approaches the 10,000 milestone, driven largely by semiconductor mega-caps, the extreme concentration and stretched valuations suggest taking profits. The speaker personally intends to sell positions gradually from 9,500 toward 10,000, anticipating a potential peak or pause.
Up Next

This 815 Money Talk (815머니톡) video, published June 26, 2026, features Kim Hyeong-cheol discussing 005930.KS, 000660.KS, XBI, 9983.T, 079550.KQ, RHM.F, Korean shipbuilding sector, Korean Power Equipment Sector, 069500.KS. 4 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Kim Hyeong-cheol  · Tickers: 005930.KS, 000660.KS, XBI, 9983.T, 079550.KQ, RHM.F, Korean shipbuilding sector, Korean Power Equipment Sector, 069500.KS