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Stock Rout Pauses, Europe Heat Wave Intensifies | The Pulse 6/24/2026

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  June 24, 2026 at 10:38  |  50:08  |  Bloomberg Markets
Speakers
Joyce Chang — Global Head of Research, JPMorgan
Miljan Gutovic — CEO, Holcim
Clemens Fuest — President, Ifo Institute
Benoit Bazin — CEO, Saint-Gobain
Roland Busch — President and CEO, Siemens

Summary

Markets stabilized after a tech-led selloff, with attention turning to Micron earnings and the AI trade. JPMorgan's Joyce Chang remained bullish on AI capex and U.S. equities, while forecasting lower oil and structurally higher bond yields. German business confidence improved slightly but the economy faces deep structural challenges. Holcim and Saint-Gobain CEOs predicted a recovery in European residential construction, and a severe European heat wave is straining power supplies.

  • Equity markets steadied after a sharp tech selloff, with Micron earnings seen as a key test for AI sentiment.
  • Joyce Chang of JPMorgan argued the AI capex story has further to run and that pullbacks are buying opportunities in semiconductors and data centers.
  • Chang also highlighted buybacks and retail dip-buying as supportive for the broader U.S. equity market.
  • She expects oil prices to face more downward pressure as OECD inventories hold up, Asian consumers adjust, and U.S.-Iran de-escalation talks progress.
  • Chang sees structurally higher term premium pushing 10-year Treasury yields still higher.
  • German Ifo business confidence remained subdued due to structural issues like high energy costs and Chinese competition, with GDP growth around 0.8% this year.
  • Holcim and Saint-Gobain CEOs both forecast a strengthening recovery in European residential construction, citing housing shortages and rising permits.
  • A record-breaking heat wave across Europe is spiking cooling demand while curbing nuclear and wind output, pushing day-ahead power prices to highs seen during the energy crisis.
Ideas
Joyce Chang Global Head of Research, JPMorgan 4:19
AI capex trend remains higher.
The AI capex story remains intact with hyperscaler spending headed towards $1 trillion, data center buildout still enormous, and semiconductor demand trend still higher. Volatility is seen as a buying opportunity.
Joyce Chang Global Head of Research, JPMorgan 4:53
U.S. equities supported by buybacks, earnings.
The U.S. equity market is supported by strong buybacks, retail flows that buy dips, and earnings that were stronger across-the-board in many sectors. The economic cycle is more midcycle than late-cycle.
Joyce Chang Global Head of Research, JPMorgan 8:04
Higher U.S. yields, structural term premium.
Interest rates can still go higher. The 10-year Treasury yield could rise another 20 basis points. A structural period of higher term premium lies ahead due to the fiscal deficit, rising debt/GDP, and the exit of price-insensitive buyers.
Joyce Chang Global Head of Research, JPMorgan 10:30
Oil prices face further downside.
Oil faces more downward pressure in the second half because OECD inventory draws are weaker than expected, Asian consumers have adjusted quickly, and both the U.S. and Iran seem to want de-escalation.
Miljan Gutovic CEO, Holcim 35:24
European residential construction recovery beginning.
A recovery in the European residential construction sector is already starting and will accelerate, driven by a shortage of nearly 10 million homes, significantly increasing building permits in Germany, and positive signs since Q3 last year.
Up Next

This Bloomberg Markets video, published June 24, 2026, features Joyce Chang, Miljan Gutovic discussing SMH, DATA CENTER STOCKS, SPY, U.S. 10-Year Treasury, BNO, European construction & materials sector. 5 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Joyce Chang, Miljan Gutovic  · Tickers: SMH, DATA CENTER STOCKS, SPY, U.S. 10-Year Treasury, BNO, European construction & materials sector