Chesley Morning Brief - Global Stock Valuation - May 18

[Chesley Morning Brief] Global Stock Valuation [26/05/18]
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  May 17, 2026 at 22:08  |  1:52:52  |  Chesley Investment Advisory (체슬리투자자문)
Speakers
Park Se-ik — CEO, ex-Chief Strategist
Jun Yeok Joo-im — Analyst
Choi Ho — Vice President

Summary

The video reviews global market conditions after a sharp Friday selloff driven by rising oil prices, higher US Treasury yields, and disappointing US-China summit outcomes. Speakers discuss impact on Asian and US equities, semiconductor sector volatility, Bitcoin weakness due to Strategy's potential sales, and Korean market correction. Park Se-ik highlights an opportunity in Korean battery cell makers and advises watching interest rates for entry points.

  • US 10-year yield breached 4.59%, causing equity selloff led by semiconductors.
  • US-China summit provided no breakthrough on chip exports, disappointing markets.
  • Bitcoin remains in a range near $78k with selling pressure from Strategy's convertible bond repurchase.
  • Korean market opened sharply lower, KOSPI down 3.6% in early trading.
  • Battery sector analyst Kim Hyun-soo recommends buying large-cap cell makers on the dip.
  • Historical analysis suggests current correction may be short-term if rates stabilize.
  • Fed rate hike probability rose to 40% per FedWatch, adding macro uncertainty.
  • Park Se-ik advises waiting for 10-year yield to drop below 4.45 before adding risk.
Trade Ideas
Strategy selling pressure, mining cost near price.
Strategy (MicroStrategy) may sell Bitcoin to repurchase convertible bonds, creating selling pressure. Bitcoin's price is near average mining cost, which historically signals a bearish environment. This combination suggests downside risk for Bitcoin in the near term.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 94:00
Battery cell earnings bottom, buy on dip.
Korean battery cell makers (LG Energy Solution, Samsung SDI, SK Innovation) have stabilizing earnings, with LG expected to turn profitable in Q2 and SDI narrowing losses. The US-China summit did not allow Chinese battery entry, supporting the de-China supply chain narrative. The recent pullback is a buying opportunity for large-cap cell makers.
Up Next

This Chesley Investment Advisory (체슬리투자자문) video, published May 17, 2026, features Jun Yeok Joo-im, Park Se-ik discussing BTC, 096770.KS, 051910.KS, 006400.KS. 2 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Jun Yeok Joo-im, Park Se-ik  · Tickers: BTC, 096770.KS, 051910.KS, 006400.KS