Ideas
Korean market re-rating continues on higher ROE
The KOSPI is in a structural value re-rating, not just a normalization. Corporate ROE has risen from around 7-8% to over 20%, reaching about 22%, and Samsung Electronics/SK Hynix earnings upgrades are driving the change. Forward PBR has already moved toward 1.6x, but the earnings foundation has shifted, many low-PBR companies remain, and the old Korea discount is turning into a Korea premium. He expects the re-rating to continue as earnings rise, though valuations are now high.
Samsung cheap as ROE climbs to 40%
Samsung Electronics is attractive on PBR because ROE is rising from below 10% to about 40% this year, making a PBR near 2.0x look cheap. Its diversified IT portfolio (memory, non-memory, telecom, display, appliances, smartphones) gives it a sturdier valuation and lower beta of around 1.3-1.4 than a pure memory play, and in HBM4 it appears to be turning the tables with mass-production progress while SK Hynix has not shown comparable signs.
SK Hynix high-beta semiconductor upcycle play
SK Hynix is a pure memory play with high beta to the semiconductor cycle, so it tends to rise much more steeply than the market when semis are strong. The cycle has not yet clearly peaked out; HBM demand, LTAs and structural supply tightness can extend the upcycle, and absolute earnings should keep rising in H2 even as growth rates slow. However, he is more conservative than bulls on valuation, seeing a 9-10x PER target rather than 12x, warns growth may slow sharply in 2027 and potentially stall in 2028, and notes Hynix has not shown comparable HBM4 mass-production progress.
Semiconductor upcycle extended by HBM demand
The semiconductor cycle is still in an upswing. Unlike prior cycles, HBM's arrival and rising long-term agreements are changing the structure, supply remains short, and the cycle can extend for longer, so a quick collapse is unlikely. Absolute earnings should rise into H2 even though the earnings growth rate may peak after Q2. He cautions that price increases cannot continue forever and that hyperscaler ROI scrutiny is the key risk.
AI peripheral trades high, reversal risk
If the semiconductor cycle eventually cools, leadership may rotate to peripheral AI-related beneficiaries. The market is already assigning growth narratives to AI value-chain stocks, power infrastructure and even ship-engine names tied to data centers. However, these are high-flying, narrative-driven trades sustained by ETF inflows; if flows reverse, they can enter a vicious downward cycle, so he advises caution rather than chasing.
KOSDAQ unattractive; too many weak listings
KOSDAQ remains unattractive because there are too many listed companies and the government should delist weak companies faster and more drastically. Valuations there are often based on talk rather than earnings, and leading companies transfer to the KOSPI only to see their share prices fall after transfer approval. Investors should not be fooled by KOSDAQ valuation rhetoric.
This 3PRO TV (삼프로TV) video, published April 28, 2026,
features Kang Gwan-woo
discussing EWY, 005930.KS, 000660.KS, SMH, AI value chain, Power infrastructure, Ship Engines, KOSDAQ.
6 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.
Speakers:
Kang Gwan-woo
· Tickers:
EWY,
005930.KS,
000660.KS,
SMH,
AI value chain,
Power infrastructure,
Ship Engines,
KOSDAQ