Summary
Mick Mulvaney, former acting White House chief of staff, discusses the Trump administration's significant immigration-enforcement pivot after deadly shootings in Minneapolis. He says DHS messaging has been poor and that Kristi Noem is unlikely to leave. Mulvaney also warns that a short-term government shutdown is likely, putting the odds around 85%.
- Mulvaney calls the immigration reset the most significant and quickest pivot he has seen from Trump.
- He attributes DHS turmoil to tin-eared messaging after the Minneapolis shootings.
- He expects Kristi Noem to remain despite DHS messaging problems.
- He advises Trump to focus on the economy and affordability while immigration cools down.
- He sees about an 85% chance of a near-term government shutdown.
- He says Senate Democrats lack a politically viable off-ramp on DHS funding.