Bloomberg Surveillance 1/21/2026

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 21, 2026 at 16:04  |  1:59:57  |  Bloomberg Markets
Speakers
Dave McKay — CEO, Royal Bank of Canada
Richard Dickson — CEO, Gap Inc.
Mitchell Green — Founder, Lead Edge Capital
Katie Koch — Reporter, The Information
Mike Henry — CEO, BHP
Scott Strazik — CEO, GE Vernova
Ted Pick — Head of Financial Products, Apollo
Robin Vince — CEO, Barclays
Dani Burger — Anchor, Bloomberg Television
Lynn Martin — President, New York Stock Exchange
Thom Tillis — US Senator (R-NC), Member of Senate Banking Committee
Lisa Abramowicz — Anchor, Bloomberg Television and Radio

Summary

Bloomberg Surveillance broadcasts from Davos with markets focused on President Trump's upcoming World Economic Forum address, geopolitical tensions over Greenland, and Fed independence. Guests span bank CEOs, consumer and industrial leaders, and investors discussing U.S. exceptionalism, diversification away from U.S. assets, AI infrastructure, power demand, copper, and China. Several speakers give company-specific and thematic views on banks, retail, software, energy, and sovereign bonds.

  • Davos waits for Trump's speech on affordability, Greenland, and geopolitics.
  • Fed independence and the Lisa Cook Supreme Court hearing remain in focus.
  • Bank CEOs see solid U.S. momentum despite some diversification talk.
  • RBC, Gap, BHP, GE Vernova, Morgan Stanley, and BNY executives give positive company updates.
  • Investors debate China tech, AI bubbles, and cheap public software.
  • TCW favors JGBs and power/utilities, while warning of quiet quitting U.S. bonds.
  • BHP sees tight copper supply; GE Vernova flags gas and nuclear strength, soft wind.
  • NYSE and market leaders discuss the IPO pipeline and tokenized/24-hour trading.
Ideas
Dave McKay CEO, Royal Bank of Canada 9:24
RBC's U.S. growth drives positive momentum.
RBC's U.S. business is a key growth engine as its second home market, with continued lending to U.S. mid-corporates and a top-five high-net-worth platform; the bank has strong momentum entering the year and is positive about the future.
Richard Dickson CEO, Gap Inc. 19:08
Gap turnaround gains consumer traction.
Gap's turnaround is resonating with consumers, with seven consecutive quarters of growth led by the namesake Gap brand, up 6%, and Banana Republic improving; product, value, storytelling, and tariff mitigation support continued momentum.
Mitchell Green Founder, Lead Edge Capital 25:47
Chinese tech offers discounted AI growth.
Chinese internet and AI equities are a discounted, under-owned growth area; Alibaba and Tencent have rerated but still lag U.S. counterparts, Chinese engineers are competitive in AI even with chip restrictions, and rising global frustration with U.S. tech dominance should benefit Chinese AI companies.
Mitchell Green Founder, Lead Edge Capital 33:27
Public software is overly punished.
Fear that AI will destroy software is overdone; software companies have distribution, customer service, and product moats, and mid-cap public software names with high retention are trading at very cheap multiples after the selloff, making them attractive.
Katie Koch Reporter, The Information 44:36
Asset owners quietly diversify from U.S. bonds.
Global asset owners are quietly diversifying away from U.S. bonds due to overexposure, high debt, and policy uncertainty, while global fixed income diversification is attractive for the first time in years; this is a slow structural move rather than a dramatic sell.
Katie Koch Reporter, The Information 46:50
Buy Japan bonds on dislocation.
Japanese government bond yields have risen to their highest levels in years, creating an attractive relative-value opportunity; TCW was underweight Japan and used the dislocation to step into the Japanese market and close 80% of that underweight.
Katie Koch Reporter, The Information 48:57
Power demand growth favors utilities.
The power transformation supporting AI is a major multi-year opportunity; U.S. power demand is shifting from decades of no growth to doubling by 2050, driven by AI, electrification, and supply constraints; invest through utilities and the power ETF focused on generation, transmission, and storage.
Mike Henry CEO, BHP 54:37
Copper demand rises as supply tightens.
Copper demand is rising across the economy, especially from AI data centers and electrification, while supply is getting harder to find as deposits shrink; this supports the metal's strong price environment.
Mike Henry CEO, BHP 54:54
BHP copper growth and balance sheet.
BHP has grown copper volumes 30% over the past three years, has four projects ahead including a large U.S. copper project, and maintains capital discipline and a strong balance sheet, positioning it well for the cycle.
Scott Strazik CEO, GE Vernova 63:46
GE Vernova backlog doubles on demand.
GE Vernova's order book is exploding as gas turbine demand from hyperscalers and power generators grows; contracted future deliveries rose from 46 GW to 80 GW, doubling backlog, with hyperscalers potentially 25% of orders in 2026.
Scott Strazik CEO, GE Vernova 64:07
Gas is key power growth fuel.
Natural gas is a force multiplier for economic growth and power generation; the world will need more electrons and gas is a key enabling fuel even as other technologies are built.
Scott Strazik CEO, GE Vernova 64:38
Wind orders are soft.
Wind is the softest part of GE Vernova's portfolio, with a significantly weaker order book than other technologies and less policy support, though the company still builds wind where resources and land are suitable.
Scott Strazik CEO, GE Vernova 64:55
Nuclear SMR momentum builds.
Nuclear is gaining momentum, with commercial discussions on small modular reactors at unprecedented levels, including in Europe, and GE Vernova expects progress in 2026.
Ted Pick Head of Financial Products, Apollo 93:01
U.S. growth case remains strong.
The 2026 U.S.-led growth case is hard to argue against: corporate health and the high-end consumer are excellent, earnings could accelerate to mid-teens, the Fed may cut further, regulation is a tailwind, and capital markets are strong.
Ted Pick Head of Financial Products, Apollo 93:14
Morgan Stanley benefits from U.S. growth.
Morgan Stanley should benefit from a strong U.S. growth and capital markets environment; as nominal GDP grows, its wealth and investment banking businesses should perform well.
Ted Pick Head of Financial Products, Apollo 93:41
Watch Japan bond fiscal vulnerability.
The long-end move in Japan is a warning sign for highly indebted sovereigns with poor demographics; markets should watch for potential Liz Truss-style pockets of vulnerability, while differentiating them from the U.S. Treasury market.
Robin Vince CEO, Barclays 103:20
U.S. assets remain core allocation.
The data does not show a broad move away from U.S. assets; with solid U.S. growth, stimulus, and the deepest, most liquid bond market, reallocating away from the U.S. is probably not the smartest choice, though portfolios should remain diversified.
Robin Vince CEO, Barclays 107:41
BNY records show transformation works.
BNY's three-year transformation has produced record 2025 revenue, pretax income, and EPS growth, with the market rewarding improved client delivery; the company is a unified financial services platform with momentum.
Up Next

This Bloomberg Markets video, published January 21, 2026, features Dave McKay, Richard Dickson, Mitchell Green, Katie Koch, Mike Henry, Scott Strazik, Ted Pick, Robin Vince discussing RY, GAP, BABA, TCEHY, IGV, Mid-cap software, TLT, Japanese government bonds, UTILITIES, Power infrastructure, COPPER, BHP, GEV, UNG, FAN, URA, Small modular reactors, SPY, MS, BNY. 18 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Dave McKay, Richard Dickson, Mitchell Green, Katie Koch, Mike Henry, Scott Strazik, Ted Pick, Robin Vince  · Tickers: RY, GAP, BABA, TCEHY, IGV, Mid-cap software, TLT, Japanese government bonds, UTILITIES, Power infrastructure, COPPER, BHP, GEV, UNG, FAN, URA, Small modular reactors, SPY, MS, BNY