Why the Samsung Electronics and SK hynix Boom Cycle Will Continue: Don't Worry About Micron's $100 Billion Expansion / The New Leading Semiconductor Stock Is Right Here | Hanbando CEO Park Jun-young

삼성전자·SK하이닉스 호황 사이클이 계속 될 이유 "마이크론의 1000억 불 증설 걱정마세요" / 새 대장 반도체주는 ‘바로 여기’ | 한반도 박준영 대표
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 09, 2026 at 08:00  |  29:02  |  815 Money Talk (815머니톡)
Speakers
Park Jun-young — CEO, Hanbando

Summary

Park Jun-young, CEO of Hanbando, explains why he believes the AI-driven memory semiconductor boom can continue, citing AI infrastructure demand, physical AI, and slow fab capacity additions. He dismisses Micron's large New York expansion as a near-term threat and favors Samsung Electronics over SK hynix due to its diversified memory, foundry, and HBM4 portfolio. He also highlights SoCAM, sovereign AI benefits for Samsung C&T and Samsung SDS, and selective opportunities in back-end semiconductor equipment.

  • Park Jun-young argues the memory semiconductor supercycle can persist because AI infrastructure, physical AI, and replacement demand are overlapping while new supply takes a long time to arrive.
  • He says Micron's $100 billion New York expansion is more political and long-dated than an immediate threat to Korean memory makers.
  • He prefers Samsung Electronics over SK hynix because Samsung has more standard DRAM capacity and broader foundry and HBM4 optionality, while acknowledging SK hynix's HBM leadership.
  • He sees growing SoCAM demand as a positive for standard DRAM, naming Samsung Electronics and PCB substrate supplier ISU Petasys as beneficiaries.
  • He views sovereign AI and national data-center projects as a major opportunity for Samsung C&T in construction and Samsung SDS in AI software.
  • In equipment, he favors back-end and advanced packaging processes such as TC bonding, metrology, and cleaning, and names ASMPT and Hanmi Semiconductor.
  • He sees hybrid bonding as likely to benefit front-end giants Applied Materials and Lam Research, while Korean mid-tier front-end equipment risks being squeezed.
Ideas
Park Jun-young CEO, Hanbando 0:50
Structural AI memory supercycle remains supply-constrained
The speaker argues the memory semiconductor industry is in a structural supercycle, not a normal cycle, because two forces are hitting at once: the AI infrastructure buildout through 2027 and the coming physical AI wave, plus a replacement cycle. Memory supply cannot respond quickly because new fab lines take about a year or more from equipment setup to wafer output, and the industry is now an oligopoly with only three major memory makers while China still cannot access leading-edge or HBM products. This should keep memory pricing and earnings supported.
Park Jun-young CEO, Hanbando 12:12
Samsung's diversified memory portfolio offers more upside
Samsung Electronics is favored over SK hynix and Micron because its portfolio is diversified across standard DRAM, NAND, foundry, and HBM4. With memory capacity roughly Samsung 4, SK hynix 3, Micron 2, China 1, HBM-focused competitors have diverted capacity to HBM, leaving Samsung with substantial standard DRAM capacity just as AI inference and SoCAM increase standard memory demand. If HBM4 becomes competitive, Samsung gains an additional profit driver and its foundry could turn from losses to profits, giving it more upside than peers.
Park Jun-young CEO, Hanbando 12:47
SK hynix HBM leadership supports strong earnings
SK hynix is a primary HBM beneficiary and its HBM leadership has driven special profits; the speaker says its earnings should remain strong this year. The caveat is that its upside is more tied to HBM, while Samsung's broader portfolio may have more open-ended upside as HBM4 competition develops.
Park Jun-young CEO, Hanbando 16:53
SoCAM growth benefits Samsung and ISU Petasys
SoCAM is a memory-module approach that attaches standard mobile DRAM to a PCB rather than stacking HBM dies, and the speaker expects demand to grow alongside AI inference and physical AI because it cuts power by about 50%, has near-99% yield, and avoids complex stacking. Samsung Electronics benefits because it has large standard DRAM capacity, and ISU Petasys is named as a close PCB substrate beneficiary, though the speaker is less certain about the exact value or price of the SoCAM PCB.
Park Jun-young CEO, Hanbando 19:10
Sovereign AI creates Samsung C&T/SDS opportunities
If sovereign AI and large national data-center projects become a real business, the speaker sees very large opportunities for Samsung Group companies. Samsung C&T is positioned for data-center construction, Samsung SDS for manufacturing AI software, and Samsung Electronics for devices and packaging. Korea could win national-scale projects similar to past Middle East oil-plant construction, creating new revenue for these group companies.
Park Jun-young CEO, Hanbando 24:29
Favor back-end packaging equipment over front-end
The speaker prefers back-end and advanced packaging equipment over front-end equipment because back-end grows faster, about 10% annually versus 7%, and offers more room for Korean suppliers. He highlights TC bonding, metrology, and cleaning or dry-cleaning processes as areas of opportunity. ASMPT is explicitly called not bad; Hanmi Semiconductor is the key TC bonder name but the speaker was less clear on its current setup, so it is treated as a watch.
Park Jun-young CEO, Hanbando 24:29
Favor back-end packaging equipment over front-end
The speaker prefers back-end and advanced packaging equipment over front-end equipment because back-end grows faster, about 10% annually versus 7%, and offers more room for Korean suppliers. He highlights TC bonding, metrology, and cleaning or dry-cleaning processes as areas of opportunity. ASMPT is explicitly called not bad; Hanmi Semiconductor is the key TC bonder name but the speaker was less clear on its current setup, so it is treated as a watch.
Park Jun-young CEO, Hanbando 25:24
Top-five front-end equipment leaders are indispensable
The top five global front-end equipment suppliers control about 80% of front-end sales and are indispensable, so the speaker does not see them as the losers from Chinese competition. By contrast, Korean mid-tier front-end equipment companies have weaker technology and are likely to be squeezed or filtered out as Chinese equipment enters.
Park Jun-young CEO, Hanbando 25:24
Top-five front-end equipment leaders are indispensable
The top five global front-end equipment suppliers control about 80% of front-end sales and are indispensable, so the speaker does not see them as the losers from Chinese competition. By contrast, Korean mid-tier front-end equipment companies have weaker technology and are likely to be squeezed or filtered out as Chinese equipment enters.
Up Next

This 815 Money Talk (815머니톡) video, published January 09, 2026, features Park Jun-young discussing SMH, 005930.KS, 000660.KS, 007660.KS, 028260.KS, 018260.KS, Back-end semiconductor equipment, 0522.HK, 042700.KS, AMAT, ASML, KLAC, 8035.T, LRCX, Korean mid-tier front-end semiconductor equipment. 9 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Park Jun-young  · Tickers: SMH, 005930.KS, 000660.KS, 007660.KS, 028260.KS, 018260.KS, Back-end semiconductor equipment, 0522.HK, 042700.KS, AMAT, ASML, KLAC, 8035.T, LRCX, Korean mid-tier front-end semiconductor equipment