A VERDADE POR TRÁS DO IPO DA SPACEX DE ELON MUSK

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  June 11, 2026 at 20:34  |  22:08  |  Fernando Ulrich
Speakers
Fernando Ulrich — Financial Commentator, Independent

Summary

Fernando Ulrich analisa o IPO da SpaceX, com valuation recorde de $1,77 trilhão e preço de $135 por ação. Ele explica que o IPO visa financiar a Starship, data centers orbitais e inteligência artificial. Ulrich alerta para riscos de diluição, destravamento de ações, desafios de engenharia e o risco do homem-chave Elon Musk. Ele espera forte desempenho inicial mas possível correção severa; não compraria a ação agora, apenas após uma queda de 50% abaixo de $1 trilhão. Por fim, ressalta que apostar contra Elon Musk com posições vendidas estruturais é extremamente arriscado.

  • IPO da SpaceX levanta $75 bilhões com valuation de $1,77 tri, preço de $135/ação.
  • Recursos destinados a Starship, constelação de data centers orbitais de IA e fábrica de chips.
  • Riscos: diluição com aquisição da Csoro, destravamento escalonado de ações, engenharia do Starship e satélites V3.
  • Ulrich projeta forte demanda inicial com ETFs no curto prazo, mas vê correção futura.
  • Estratégia: monitorar para comprar apenas após queda de 50% (abaixo de $1 tri).
  • Alerta final: nunca manter short estrutural em empresas do Elon Musk.
Ideas
Fernando Ulrich Financial Commentator, Independent 19:35
Buy SpaceX only after a 50% drop.
SpaceX stock could surge at IPO due to strong demand and passive ETF inflows, but he will not buy now. He expects a sharp correction driven by dilution, lock-up expansion, engineering risks, and AI bubble uncertainty. He would only consider a long entry after at least a 50% decline below a $1 trillion valuation, which would provide a sufficient margin of safety to bet on Elon Musk's execution and the long-term multi-planetary mission.
SPCX MED
Fernando Ulrich Financial Commentator, Independent 21:00
Never structurally short SpaceX.
Betting against Elon Musk with a structural short is extremely dangerous. Despite low probabilities of success for each venture, Musk has repeatedly delivered against all odds (Tesla, SpaceX, others). A structural short on his companies, including SpaceX, carries an unacceptable risk of devastating losses; therefore, one should never hold a structural short on SpaceX.
Short SpaceX HIGH
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This Fernando Ulrich video, published June 11, 2026, features Fernando Ulrich discussing SPCX, Short SpaceX. 2 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Fernando Ulrich  · Tickers: SPCX, Short SpaceX