DeFi’s Latest $290M Hack, Kalshi vs Polymarket & Will the Clarity Act Pass?

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  April 24, 2026 at 12:15  |  1:13:01  |  Empire
Speakers
Rob Hadick — General Partner, Dragonfly
Jason Yanowitz — Co-Founder, Blockworks
Santiago R. Santos — Co-Host, Empire / Founder, Inversion Capital

Summary

The hosts and guest Rob Hadick discuss the aftermath of the $290M KelpDAO hack, the rivalry between Kalshi and Polymarket launching perps, the prospects of the Clarity Act, and the launch of USD AI. Key themes include the need for better security and rate limits in DeFi, the regulatory uncertainty around crypto derivatives, and the declining probability of the Clarity Act passing. Market implications include potential shifts in DeFi lending towards isolated markets and the continued risk of North Korean hacks.

  • KelpDAO exploit led to $290M loss and freeze of $70M on Arbitrum.
  • Discussion on the need for rate limits and multi-verifier security in cross-chain bridges.
  • Kalshi and Polymarket both announced perp products with different regulatory approaches.
  • Rob Hadick sees Clarity Act passage as unlikely (33% chance) due to time constraints.
  • USD AI token launched, tied to GPU-backed lending for AI compute.
  • Aave's TVL dropped significantly, highlighting risks of composability.
  • Lazarus Group remains a major threat to the crypto ecosystem.
Trade Ideas
Rob Hadick General Partner, Dragonfly 61:52
33% chance, theta decay, likely fail.
Rob believes the Clarity Act has only a 33% chance of passing based on conversations with DC lobbyists and the deadline before Memorial Day, with theta decay decreasing probability over time.
Up Next

This Empire video, published April 24, 2026, features Rob Hadick discussing CLARITY ACT (POLYMARKET). 1 trade idea extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Rob Hadick  · Tickers: CLARITY ACT (POLYMARKET)