What Asset Rises First When Inflation Comes? | Chesley Investment Advisory Executive Director Park Se-ik

What asset rises first when inflation comes? | Chesley Investment Advisory Executive Director Park Se-ik [Womae Shinbak / 26.09.09.Wed]
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  September 09, 2026 at 10:00  |  21:41  |  Chesley Investment Advisory (체슬리투자자문)
Speakers
Park Se-ik — CEO, ex-Chief Strategist
Choi Ho — Vice President

Summary

Park Se-ik discusses how investors should categorize stocks as quality assets versus speculative names and argues that core quality assets rise first in an inflation/debasement environment. The conversation also covers Hyosung Heavy Industries' US grid exposure, gold, bitcoin, stablecoins, dollar weakness, and an inflation asset-allocation view favoring stocks over bonds.

  • Park uses a Seoul apartment analogy: distinguish Gangnam-style quality stocks from unsold/speculative stocks and avoid panic selling quality names on deep declines.
  • He sees many Korean stocks outside Samsung Electronics and SK hynix as heavily beaten down and likely to recover over the next year.
  • Choi Ho relays a differentiated bullish analyst view on Hyosung Heavy Industries tied to US 765kV transmission and substation package sales.
  • The debasement trade is discussed: long-term Treasury yields are rising while the dollar weakens, supporting gold and bitcoin but with chase risk and complexity.
  • Stablecoin expansion is flagged as a potential demand source for US short-term Treasuries and a liquidity monitor for crypto markets.
  • Park says core quality assets such as gold, bitcoin, and core stocks rise first when fiat money is debased, and he also says to avoid bonds and buy stocks when inflation comes.
Ideas
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 9:48
Korean beaten-down stocks will recover.
Park argues investors should categorize their stocks like Seoul real estate: Gangnam/blue-chip quality stocks should not be panic-sold after 30-50% declines. Because Samsung Electronics and SK hynix have led the Korean market while many other shares dropped 30-50%, he sees many beaten-down Korean stocks recovering over the next year.
Choi Ho Vice President 10:09
US grid package sales differentiate Hyosung Heavy.
Hyosung Heavy Industries is differentiated because it can supply ultra-high-voltage transformers, gas-insulated switchgear, and ultra-high-voltage gas circuit breakers together; if the US expands 765kV transmission, it can grow sales in substation package units rather than single products. Its portfolio is also relatively stable due to US data-center construction speed and power-grid investment.
Choi Ho Vice President 11:45
Dollar weak despite rising yields.
US fiscal concerns and expectations of dollar liquidity expansion are offsetting the usual dollar strength from higher long-term Treasury yields; the dollar has recently weakened even as long-term yields rose, and the debasement trade is strengthening.
Choi Ho Vice President 12:25
Gold benefits from debasement but don't chase.
If the debasement trade continues, there is broad agreement that gold benefits because supply is hard to expand quickly and central banks are long-term buyers diversifying reserves away from the dollar. But after a large rally, with the risk that high US real rates persist, the degree to which debasement expectations are already priced in needs to be assessed, so blindly chasing gold is burdensome.
Choi Ho Vice President 13:14
Bitcoin more complex than gold.
Bitcoin's fixed 21 million supply fits the debasement logic, but bitcoin is more sensitive to ETF inflows and institutional/retail risk appetite. The recent surge was amplified by US regulatory easing expectations and clearing of accumulated short positions, making bitcoin more complex than gold.
Choi Ho Vice President 14:03
Stablecoin expansion supports short-term Treasuries.
Stablecoin market growth is worth watching because dollar stablecoin issuers must hold US short-term Treasuries and cash-like assets as reserves; as the market expands, it can become a new demand source for US Treasuries and partially absorb increased short-term Treasury supply. Investors still need to confirm whether new stablecoin issuance and exchange/DeFi inflows are actually occurring.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 21:30
Inflation: avoid bonds, buy stocks.
Norway's sovereign wealth fund has sharply cut its US Treasury allocation, and large pension funds are reflecting the debasement trade. Park says that if inflation comes, investors should not hold bonds and should buy stocks instead.
Up Next

This Chesley Investment Advisory (체슬리투자자문) video, published September 09, 2026, features Park Se-ik, Choi Ho discussing EWY, 298040.KS, DXY, GLD, BTC, SHV, TLT. 7 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Park Se-ik, Choi Ho  · Tickers: EWY, 298040.KS, DXY, GLD, BTC, SHV, TLT