SpaceX•xAI Merger Decided! How Much Will Tesla's Valuation Change? | Jung Woo-chang, Yeo Do-eun, Heo Jae-mu

스페이스X•xAI 합병결정! 테슬라의 밸류 얼마나 달라지나? | 정우창, 여도은, 허재무 [아침N투자]
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  February 03, 2026 at 02:27  |  56:50  |  3PRO TV (삼프로TV)
Speakers
Jung Woo-chang — Director
Heo Jaemu — Host

Summary

Jung Woo-chang, a manager, discusses U.S. and Korean markets, arguing that U.S. economic and earnings strength, pro-market policy, and AI productivity gains keep the U.S. equity trend intact. He separates asset-specific risks from broad market risk, favoring gold over silver and avoiding Bitcoin, while highlighting Alphabet, Amazon, Palantir, Tesla, and memory semiconductors as key implementation ideas. The show also covers Fed-chair transition fears, SpaceX/xAI merger implications for Tesla, and the limits of current humanoid-robot hype.

  • U.S. economic growth, earnings, and pro-market policy are viewed as supportive for U.S. equities.
  • AI is treated as a real productivity driver rather than a bubble, though OpenAI-linked names face overhangs.
  • Gold is favored for asset allocation on central-bank demand; silver is seen as overly speculative and Bitcoin as losing appeal.
  • Alphabet is highlighted as the key AI bellwether, with Amazon and Palantir also framed around upcoming earnings.
  • Tesla is a core long-term holding tied to FSD, robotaxi optionality, and possible SpaceX/xAI integration.
  • Memory semiconductors Samsung Electronics, SK hynix, and Micron are equal-weighted for valuation upside.
  • Fed-chair transition fears and Korean market weakness are treated as secondary to the U.S. market trend.
Ideas
Jung Woo-chang Director 7:21
U.S. equity trend remains intact.
The U.S. economy is stronger than feared, with GDP growth around 4% and corporate earnings beating, so U.S. exceptionalism is strengthening rather than fading. Trump is seen as pro-market and wants the stock market higher, while the Fed-chair transition and minor selloffs are position unwinds, not trend changes. He expects the U.S. market to do well over the next three years, helped by the current technology revolution.
Jung Woo-chang Director 8:56
OpenAI-linked AI names face overhang.
Microsoft is now the market's weak link because of concerns over OpenAI's sustainability and competition, which explains its sharp drop despite decent earnings. Oracle has similar OpenAI exposure, and Nvidia is also underperforming other semiconductors because OpenAI is a major customer and investment relationship. These names carry company-specific overhang even if the broader market is fine.
Jung Woo-chang Director 8:56
OpenAI-linked AI names face overhang.
Microsoft is now the market's weak link because of concerns over OpenAI's sustainability and competition, which explains its sharp drop despite decent earnings. Oracle has similar OpenAI exposure, and Nvidia is also underperforming other semiconductors because OpenAI is a major customer and investment relationship. These names carry company-specific overhang even if the broader market is fine.
Prefer gold over speculative silver.
Gold remains a valid traditional asset-allocation holding, supported by central-bank demand. Silver, however, was driven up by excessive leveraged and speculative positioning and is a weak link that can break sharply, so he would not chase silver.
Prefer gold over speculative silver.
Gold remains a valid traditional asset-allocation holding, supported by central-bank demand. Silver, however, was driven up by excessive leveraged and speculative positioning and is a weak link that can break sharply, so he would not chase silver.
Bitcoin loses alternative-asset appeal.
Bitcoin's former role as a leading indicator for Nasdaq has weakened. Quantum-computing security threats, Jefferies removing Bitcoin from recommended portfolios, and selling by early whales are weighing on its appeal as an alternative asset.
AI is real, not bubble.
He rejects the AI-bubble thesis: AI is changing lives and lifting U.S. labor productivity, which reached 4.9% and can support GDP growth even without new hiring. This makes AI a durable investment theme rather than a late-cycle bubble.
Alphabet is the key AI bellwether.
Alphabet is his largest portfolio holding and a top retail favorite, with a broad AI franchise spanning Gemini, Waymo, and drug discovery. He expects the upcoming earnings to be strong and sees Alphabet as the key mega-cap AI bellwether; a shock would hit the whole tech complex, but he expects a solid print.
AWS surprise could lift Amazon.
Amazon is a conditional earnings setup: Anthropic has strong B2B momentum and AWS may deliver an upside surprise if it beats elevated expectations. If AWS surprises positively, Amazon shares could rise and improve sentiment for AI and IT semiconductors, but it depends on the print.
Palantir earnings dispel AI concerns.
Palantir's earnings were very strong, with revenue growth above 70%, margins above 50%, and guidance raised by more than 20%. That performance dispels recent software and AI-bubble concerns around the stock and removes a key bear case.
Tesla is core long-term holding.
Tesla is one of his two core portfolio axes and a long-held position. He expects another level-up from accelerating FSD adoption, high-margin recurring FSD revenue, robotaxi optionality, and the possibility that a SpaceX/xAI merger eventually makes Tesla a unique public vehicle for physical AI, robots, and space. Risks include heavy new investment, a long humanoid-robot timeline, and usual Q1 seasonality.
Equal-weight memory trio for upside.
He equal-weights Samsung Electronics, SK hynix, and Micron as his second core axis because each has a distinct edge: Samsung is the largest memory-capacity player, SK hynix leads in HBM, and Micron is a key U.S. supplier. Their estimated operating profits are huge—Samsung around 160 trillion won and SK hynix around 147 trillion won—which would rank them near the top of the S&P 500 and imply significant upside versus current market caps; not owning memory is an upside risk.
Up Next

This 3PRO TV (삼프로TV) video, published February 03, 2026, features Jung Woo-chang discussing SPY, MSFT, ORCL, NVDA, GLD, SILVER, BTC, AI-SECTOR, GOOGL, AMZN, PLTR, TSLA, 005930.KS, 000660.KS, MU. 12 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Jung Woo-chang  · Tickers: SPY, MSFT, ORCL, NVDA, GLD, SILVER, BTC, AI-SECTOR, GOOGL, AMZN, PLTR, TSLA, 005930.KS, 000660.KS, MU