The Fate of Semiconductors 'Everything Will Be Decided This Week' | Ha Chang-wan, Habono's Stock Story CEO

Summary

Ha Chang-wan, CEO of Habono's Stock Story, provides a cautious market outlook ahead of a critical week packed with semiconductor earnings and central bank decisions. He analyzes key levels for Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, and Naver, advising to wait for clear breakouts. He also highlights a structural shift in defense spending toward missiles and radars, naming Hanwha Aerospace, Hanwha Systems, and LIG Nex1 as beneficiaries.

• Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix need to break above 272,000 KRW and 200,000 KRW levels to signal trend change.
• The coming week's earnings reports and FOMC/BOJ meetings could serve as catalysts for the semiconductor sector.
• Naver rallied on Nvidia stake news and share cancellations but faces heavy overhead resistance; new entries should wait.
• Extreme put positioning on Nasdaq-100 suggests a potential short-covering bounce if geopolitical risk eases.
• Within defense, the speaker favors missile and radar companies (Hanwha Aerospace, Hanwha Systems, LIG Nex1) over tank makers like Hyundai Rotem.
• AI software stocks saw short-term momentum but lack clear follow-through, while seasonal plays like airlines and air-conditioners remain trading vehicles.
• KOSDAQ is in a high risk/reward zone but biotech weakness could drag it lower unless biotech turns.