South Korean Submarine Deployed to the Strait of Hormuz? Quieter Than a Nuclear Submarine: The Secret of the Dosan Ahn Changho's AIP Technology | Professor Moon Keun-sik

한국 잠수함이 호르무즈 해협에 투입됐다? / 핵 잠수함보다 조용하다. 도산 안창호함 AIP 기술의 비밀ㅣ문근식 교수
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  February 10, 2026 at 09:31  |  21:24  |  815 Money Talk (815머니톡)
Speakers
Moon Geun-sik — Special Professor, Hanyang University Graduate School of Public Policy

Summary

Professor Moon Keun-sik of Hanyang University discusses the Dosan Ahn Changho submarine, debunking reports that it was deployed to the Strait of Hormuz and explaining that the shallow, narrow waterway makes no operational sense while a Canada visit is confirmed. He explains AIP diesel-submarine technology and compares it with modern nuclear submarines. He argues underwater AI and unmanned submarine operations remain far from practical, while Korea's 3,000-ton diesel submarines and reactor/SMR capabilities are strategically advanced. The main market implications are positive for Korean defense/submarine export competitiveness and nuclear/SMR capability, but cautionary for underwater AI-drone hype.

  • Hormuz deployment rumor for Dosan Ahn Changho is refuted; Canada trip is confirmed.
  • AIP extends diesel-submarine submerged endurance but is not omnipotent; modern nuclear submarines are also quiet.
  • Underwater AI and unmanned submersibles face severe acoustic, target-identification, cost, and legal hurdles.
  • Korea's 3,000-ton diesel submarines are assessed as world-class and comparable to Japanese and German designs.
  • Korean diesel submarines are presented as an asymmetric deterrent against North Korea's larger submarine fleet.
  • Korea's reactor and SMR technology is described as advanced enough to support a future nuclear-powered submarine program.
  • Market implication: Korean defense/submarine export and nuclear/SMR themes look supported; underwater AI hype warrants caution.
Ideas
Moon Geun-sik Special Professor, Hanyang University Graduate School of Public Policy 7:38
Underwater AI submarine hype is premature.
Underwater AI and autonomous unmanned submersibles are far from practical deployment: acoustic propagation is unreliable, target identification is very hard, costs are high, nets and unexpected variables can trap vehicles, and legal/operational command concepts are lacking. Company announcements and research goals can lift stock prices, but near-term commercial/military viability is low.
Moon Geun-sik Special Professor, Hanyang University Graduate School of Public Policy 13:31
Korean submarine defense exports are world-class.
Korea's 3,000-ton diesel/AIP submarines, exemplified by Dosan Ahn Changho, are world-class: comparable to Japan's Soryu-class, equal to or better than German designs in detection and vertical-launch land-attack capability, and Korea has won submarine export competition. This supports Korean defense/submarine export competitiveness.
Moon Geun-sik Special Professor, Hanyang University Graduate School of Public Policy 13:31
Korean submarine defense exports are world-class.
Korea's high-performance 3,000-ton diesel submarines are designed to offset North Korea's numerical submarine advantage and announced nuclear submarine program; they can stay submerged for more than three weeks, pre-position, and blockade or ambush North Korean submarines, making them a key asymmetric defense asset until Korea can field nuclear-powered submarines.
Moon Geun-sik Special Professor, Hanyang University Graduate School of Public Policy 19:53
Korean nuclear submarine program is advancing.
Korea has a path to nuclear-powered submarines because it has already built world-class diesel submarines and can integrate a compact reactor; its reactor technology is ranked around fifth globally and its SMR design capability is strong. The remaining hurdles are nuclear-fuel approvals under the U.S.-Korea nuclear agreement and IAEA/NPT safeguards, and the issue has been raised in U.S.-Korea summit discussions.
Moon Geun-sik Special Professor, Hanyang University Graduate School of Public Policy 20:05
Korean SMR technology is world-class.
Korea's reactor and SMR design capabilities are advanced, with domestic reactor technology ranked around fifth globally and SMR design described as ahead of the U.S. This supports the case for Korean nuclear/SMR technology as a strategic industrial capability.
Up Next

This 815 Money Talk (815머니톡) video, published February 10, 2026, features Moon Geun-sik discussing Underwater unmanned systems / AI submarine theme, Korean submarine export theme, Korean defense sector, Korean nuclear-powered submarine program, SMR (small modular reactors). 5 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Moon Geun-sik  · Tickers: Underwater unmanned systems / AI submarine theme, Korean submarine export theme, Korean defense sector, Korean nuclear-powered submarine program, SMR (small modular reactors)